Trump Announces the End of Global American Empire. Here’s What Comes Next.

So, the three headlines from the president's  speech last night, at least in the short term, are no ground troops. Didn't mention ground  troops. Yes, we are getting out in some number. of weeks by the end of April. And there's not  going to be regime change. Regime change, as he. said explicitly, is not our goal. So, are those  true? Well, of course, you can't tell. You can't. know at this point as Trump himself said this has  been a very short engagement relative to say the.

first or second world war or Vietnam. But all of  those wars began with similar promises. This won't. last long back by fall. All the kind of famous  slogans that we chuckle about ironically decades. later. They had no idea what they were getting  into. And that is true again for every conflict. The second people start dying, you really don't  know where it's going to end. And that goes for.

this conflict, too. And all kinds of things  could happen between right now and resolution. And some of them are awful. And there also, by  the way, signs that there is, as there always is, quite a distance between what politicians tell us  and what they're actually planning to do or what. they may do. So, for example, in the question of  ground troops, the president didn't mention them. last night, but they are apparently on the way.  So, American troops are on the way to the Persian.

Gulf, including portions of the Nevada National  Guard for some reason. So, either that's a. statement of intent, the administration does plan  to put boots on the ground, or it's an option they. want to keep open. But either way, that very much  could happen. Particularly if the US decides we. need actual regime change. We need to subdue the  country completely, change its leadership, demand.

unconditional surrender. None of those things can  be achieved. It is pretty much believed uh by air. power alone. So that that could happen and it  could accelerate in other ways too. probably too. horrible even to think about including the use  of non-conventional weapons, nuclear weapons of. some kind. And the effects of that would be what  we don't know because those weapons have never. been used. The kind of nuclear weapons that modern  nations possess are not even that closely related.

to the only ones that have ever been used 80 years  ago in Japan. So what would happen next? Again, we can only guess, but it would be awful. So,  those questions were partly answered last night, but they're not really the right questions that  we should be asking because this is not just a. war in Iran. It is, well, really, it's a pivot in  history. What we're watching is a change of power.

globally. And so the questions we really should  be thinking about and that we're going to get the. answers to fairly soon would include who runs the  world, who's in charge of the world, where are the. real power centers, what is the nature of power,  what does it mean to have power, how do you know. if a country is powerful, where does our power  derive? Why is the United States a power exactly?

And finally, what is the United States? Who are  we? How do we understand ourselves? What do we. stand for? What's our national character? Is there  one? What are we defending when we go to war? So, those are the questions that whether we want to  ask or not, and they're almost never discussed. in public for some reason, that we're going to  get the answers to very soon because conflict. forces an answer to these questions. In this  conflict in particular, this is a world war,

which is to say the world, every nation in the  world, while not obviously directly engaged in it, has a stake in the outcome and the future of every  country will be determined in part by what happens. in Iran. So to answer or try to answer the first  question, who controls the world? Well, how do. you know? Well, you know because in terms of this  specific conflict, the nation that controls the.

world will be the one that opens the straight of  Hormuz. Now, what is the straight of Hormuz? Well, it's the choke point at the eastern end of the  Persian Gulf, which is the source of a fifth of. the world's energy, probably 30% of the world's  fertilizer, whole bunch of other vital elements.

that the world needs to run, that the global  economy needs to operate. And you can't get. any of those out of that region except through  that straight. And it's about 100 miles long. It's 25 odd miles wide at its shortest width. It  is basically the source of Iran's power. It turns. out one of the things we've learned is that Iran  is not a military power. The president and many.

other leaders bragged about destroying its navy  and its air force and reducing its capacity to. build missiles and ending its nuclear program.  And that's relevant. Certainly tactically it's. relevant. But long-term its military, even its  nuclear program is not why Iran is powerful. Iran. is powerful because of its geography. And that's  true for all countries. Geography is the single.

most important fact of a country. Where are you on  the globe? And what does that mean? And in Iran's. case, its power is inherent because it is on the  other side, the northern side of the straight of. Hormuz. So if you want the global economy to  function and it is globalized, every country. is connected to every other country by commerce.  you have to be able to get through that straight. and Iran is in charge of that decision, which  is to say Iran can stop you from doing that.

And for many decades now, Iran has threatened to  do that. This is not the first time we've had a. debate over the straight of Hormuz or it's been  in the news because in every single conflict with. Iran, open conflict, diplomatic conflict,  beginning with the hostage crisis in 1979, extending through the war between Iran and Iraq  in which we took sides. Iran has said, "Hey,

we will close the straight." And American policy  makers have understood that is ultimately why Iran. is a nation that you have to reckon with that you  have to take seriously whether you like them or. not even if you hate them maybe especially  if you hate them. So Iran is not a military. power fundamentally. Iran is an economic power and  previous leaders have understood that. Our current. leadership doesn't really seem to understand that  or has not said that in public. But Iran's power.

derives from its fat its ability to shut down or  at least gravely damage the global economy. So. the only question that matters long term is who  reopens that straight. And it seems obvious at. this point that the United States went into the  conflict with the mistaken belief that it could. we could somebody could reopen that straight  by force. It's hard to understand how anyone.

who thought about it for 10 minutes, 5 minutes, 2  minutes could have reached that conclusion. How do. you open it by force? Well, you could just blow up  Iran. You could end its regime. You could kill its. Ayatollah. You could take out its leadership,  but does that open the straight? Think about. what it takes to close the straight. Not much. In  fact, almost nothing. Mines, the threat of mines, boats with explosives on them, drones. It's  extremely easy to prevent commerce. It's very.

difficult to assure it. It's asymmetrical. And  so it's impossible to imagine how an outside. power could keep the straight open without the  consent not just of the Iranian government, which. you could destroy conceivably. You could just nuke  it, but without the consent of the people who live. in Iran. Another way to put it is game it out.  You blow up Iran or you destroy any controlling.

authority within Iran and Iran collapses. Does  that open the straight? Well, of course not. It. allows any armed group to control the straight  and then to collect taxes, levies, tolls for. all shipping that goes through. It allows pirates  to take control of the straight. And that doesn't.

necessarily make commerce impossible, but it  massively increases the cost and it discourages. normal flows of energy because who's going to  do that? Who's going to ensure a ship when no. government can protect it or assure its protection  as it passes through the straits? So again, even if you reduced Iran to the state of permanent  civil war, ethnic conflict, even if you killed 90%.

of the people in Iran or 99% or 100%. You would  still be unable to promise shipping companies and. oil producers and oil buyers that their oil or  their liqufied natural gas or their fertilizer, their sulfur, anything else they need from  the Persian Gulf would actually be able to. go through that straight into the Indian Ocean  and out to the rest of the world. So that's not.

a solution. There's no military solution. And  that's not a peace neck position. War is bad. That's a practical observation that reflects  reality. You cannot bomb your way to an open. straight. So if you're thinking about how to  resolve this through war, you have to somehow. use force killing bombing to convince the Iranian  government. And you have to weaken it to the point.

where you convince them it's in their interest  to keep the straight open. But you can't bond. them to the point they collapse because then there  will be no controlling authority to keep it open. So you need a government, but the government  has to like you, the government has to be weak. enough to agree to your demands, but strong  enough to keep control over its territory and. that waterway. Pretty delicate operation.  And at the end of it, you need consent.

And this sort of explains what power really is.  Power is not the ability to destroy. Destroying. is easy. Killing is easy. You can take life very  simply. Not hard at all. Dumb people do it all the. time. Creating life is impossible. No human being  can do that. The difference that's the difference. between man and God. Man can destroy but he cannot  create. So in human terms, power is the ability.

not to create chaos or destruction but to restore  order. Power is the ability to restore order. The. most powerful person, the most powerful force is  the one that restores conditions to order. And you. see that in your life. Your kids get in a fight.  That's easy. They're kids. They can beat each. other up, but who's in charge? Well, the parent  who restores order. Dad comes home, knock it off.

Dad's in charge. We know that because he got the  fighting to stop. And that's true of nations as. well. The nation that restores order is the nation  in charge. The nation that forces the peace is. the nation in charge. And in global terms, the  country that forces order on the Persian Gulf. that opens the straight of Hormuz is the nation  that runs the world by definition. So for decades,

certainly since the Second World War, the rest  of the world has assumed that that country is. the United States. And again and again, as noted,  various Iranian leaders have threatened to close. the strait. And in every single case, the rest  of the region has looked to the United States to. make sure that doesn't happen. And the assumption  that if there was ever a problem, the US could fix.

it has remained up until February 28th when this  war began. And that was the day that the rest of. the world realized that the United States was  unable to restore order. And this was a shock. particularly for the six Gulf states who along  with Iran and Iraq are the energy producing. states around the Persian Gulf. But those six  states, the GCC, the Gulf monarchies, our closest.

allies in the region, our most important allies  in the world, had lived for many years with the. assumption that if there was ever a problem, the  United States could fix it. And they found out in. very short order that that was untrue. And they  found out the hard way when hours after this war. started, Iran started attacking them. And the  United States either wouldn't or couldn't stop. that destruction. And the destruction is profound.  Profound. UAE, United Arab Emirates, location of.

Dubai and Abu Dhabi, two of the most famous cities  in the world, two of the nicest cities in the. world, by the way, one of the richest countries  in the world, has taken over 2,000 missiles and. drone attacks in the past months. 2,000 both  against energy infrastructure, economic targets, but also against hotels in downtown Dubai. The  airports, the busiest, most important airports.

in the region, maybe in the world, Dubai and Abu  Dhabi, the nicest airports in the world, attacked. and the United States couldn't or wouldn't defend  them. Qatar, same thing. Saudi to some extent, same thing. Now, these are countries that partly  in exchange for the defense guarantee they thought. they had, have been the largest and especially in  recent years, investors in the United States. So,

their sovereign wealth funds, some of the biggest  in the world, have poured trillions of foreign. direct investment into the US, literally trillions  of dollars. And the effects going forward are. unknown, but it looks like I mean someone's going  to have to rebuild these countries. They're going. to have to pay for it themselves most likely. And  so it looks like some of that investment maybe a.

lot of that investment will either stop and maybe  some of it under force majour will be pulled back. So it's a massive loss for them. It's a huge loss  for the United States. But more than anything, it's a reshuffleling of expectations and yes, of  power. Now, all of those countries are focused. single-mindedly on reopening the straight because  that's the key to their economies. And of course, they live directly across the border from  Iran. And all of them have an interest in.

the United States doing that. And some of  them are pushing the United States to do. that probably every bit as enthusiastically as  the Israeli government has to be totally honest. And you can understand that it's not an attack on  them from their perspective. Just make it stop, open the straight and there are a lot of practical  reasons why that needs to happen. One of them is. oil and gas come out of the ground and you have to  put it somewhere. And if it's not going on ships, you have to put it in some sort of storage  facility. And those are limited in size.

And if you don't have a place to put the oil  and gas, then you have to shut down the well and. that's a that's a big operation and it can take a  long time to restart it. You basically shut down. your entire economy. So there's a clock ticking  for these countries. You got to get the energy out. of out of the region onto ships and out and you  need the revenue from selling it. So they want the. United States to stop this immediately and by stop  it means open that straight. And their view is,

well, you just crush the Iranian regime. It's  understandable why they feel that way. It's. hard in practical terms to understand how you do  that. You You really can't. You need someone in. Iran to agree to this. Someone who has the power  to control the country. And for the Gulf States. and for a lot of countries around the world, that  is a nightmare scenario because that leaves the. Iranians in control. So you go to all the trouble  to have this war and you have some version of.

the same regime still in charge. And from the  perspective of our allies in the Middle East, that is the last thing they want because these are  their enemies. They're literally the Iranians are. bombing their countries. They don't want Iran in  charge. when all of this is over. But last night, the president seemed to indicate, in fact, didn't  seem to indicate, he just said, Iran's going to.

be in charge at the end. He said that when he  made the point that, well, the strait's going. to reopen because Iran's going to need the money  from oil sales. That's another way of saying some. kind of Iranian regime that we didn't choose is  going to be in power when this is all over. So. that that statement alone is hugely significant  for the rest of the world. The president of the. United States just said we're not going to be  in charge of who runs Iran when this war ends.

But the most significant thing the president  said was about the straight and who opens it. And. again, before we play this clip, keep in mind that  the rest of the world, including our adversaries, but especially our allies, always assumed it would  be the United States who, if it ever came to it, would reopen that critical waterway, that  key to the globalized economy, which it.

which it is. If there's any one geographic spot  on the globe that's the key to a global economy, to an interconnected economy, it's the straight  of Hormuz. Here's what the president said last. night. The countries of the world that do receive  oil through the Hormone Strait must take care of. that passage. They must cherish it. They must  grab it and cherish it. They can do it easily.

We will be helpful, but they should take  the lead in protecting the oil that they. so desperately depend on. So to those countries  that can't get fuel, many of which refuse to get. involved in the decapitation of Iran. We had to  do it ourselves. I have a suggestion. Number one, buy oil from the United States of America. We  have plenty. We have so much. And number two, build up some delayed courage. Should have done it  before. Should have done it with us as we asked.

go to the strait and just take it, protect  it, use it for yourselves. Iran has been. essentially decimated. The hard part is done, so  it should be easy. You want the straight open, do it yourselves. So what does this mean?  Well, there are many levels uh on which you. could analyze this. The first is the literal. So  we have enough oil. We don't need the oil there. or if you need the oil, you do it. to which a lot  of people have noted, well actually oil is priced.

on the international market and unless you shut  down American oil exports and in some basic sense. nationalize the oil companies, control them, use  the government to control who they can sell to, then what happens in the strait affects us here  and gas prices and oil prices because we don't. control those. Um, so there's that, but bigger  picture, what the president is saying is we can't.

open the street. And if it's so important to you,  because we could nationalize the oil companies, actually, if it's so important to you, you  do it. So, who's he talking to exactly? Well, this administration and previous administrations  have expressed increasing accelerating hostility.

toward Europe. And of course, Europe is who they  may be talking to. They seem to be talking to. Europe needs Qatari LNG, which they definitely  do. Since the United States blew up their pipeline. from Russia, they're ever more dependent on  Gulf oil and particularly Gulf gas, natural gas. And so Europe, you do it. And we asked our  European allies to get in at the very beginning.

And we're going to leave NATO because they're  not backing us up in Iran. It's not really a real. conversation. Our European allies don't really  have militaries. And they don't have militaries. because their countries have been occupied to one  degree or another by the US military since 1945. at the end of the Second World War. So they've  had not just a defense guarantee through NATO, they've had an actual physical defense against  whom? Russia for a lot of the time. And so they.

don't have the capacity to open the straight by  force. And of course, no one really does have. that capacity. There's no force that can open  the straight, only consent. But even if you. believe there was some military answer to this,  France and Great Britain and Germany are going to. provide that answer. Spain, Portugal, Belgium.  It's absurd. It's absurd. Of course, Trump is. not speaking to Europe. Nobody expects that Europe  could or has any interest in sending troops to the.

Persian Gulf to open the straight. So, who's he  speaking to? Well, practically speaking, there's. really only one country on earth with the power,  not necessarily the military power, but maybe the. power to open the Gulf, to open the straight at  the eastern end of the Gulf, let all that oil. and gas out. And that of course is China. China is  who the president is speaking to. And by the way,

the US president was supposed to be in China this  month, April, meeting with the Chinese president. she and that's been delayed until next month and  we'll see if that actually happens. But at the. center of the conversation will be this question.  So how exactly would China open the straight of. Formuz? Well, probably not with aircraft carriers.  In fact, you have to wonder how many aircraft. carriers will be built after this conflict because  our aircraft carriers can't get very close to Iran.

because of the threat of drones and missiles. So,  is it even useful to have aircraft carriers in. this moment? We'll have to assess that. Doesn't  seem it. But it's not its military that gives. China the power to do this. It's its economic  relationships of course. So, China is the largest.

trading partner with every Gulf country and with  Iran. In fact, China is one of the only countries. that has any kind of meaningful relationship  with Iran at this point. China and Russia, but. particularly China. So, China could conceivably  bankrupt Iran if it wanted, but China is also. dependent on Gulf Energy. All of Asia is dependent  on Gulf Energy. They need it. So, Asia, for.

example, uses about half the world's electricity,  mostly for manufacturing. Asia produces about 2%. of the world's natural gas which is in most places  the energy source used to make electricity. So. Asia while an economic power of course is woefully  short of energy and a lot of that comes from the.

Gulf. So China needs the Gulf, wants the Gulf.  You know, China has very deep energy storage. They've saved a lot of oil in their own strategic  petroleum reserve. But at a certain point, China's. going to want to open that up. And Trump seems  to be saying that's inevitable. We don't need to. worry about it. The question though is when. So  from the Chinese perspective, what's the hurry?

China will be hurt economically by disclosure  if it continues, but so will the United States, but maybe more critically, so will American allies  in Asia. So if you're China, you're very focused. on the countries right around you that aren't  fully under your control. Why wouldn't you be?

Every great power is concerned first and foremost  about its region. Can I control the countries. right around me? And in China's case, you have  Taiwan, you also have Japan, you have South Korea, and you have Philippines. So you've got four big  countries that are not directly controlled by. China, but they're in Asia, and they were all  to one extent or another closely allied with. the United States and benefit from some kind of  defense guarantee, mostly implied. And so if you.

weaken those countries, all of whom are totally  dependent on Middle Eastern energy and you weaken. the United States by refusing to come to its  aid, the Gulf stays closed. Energy prices in the. United States spike. Food prices spike. Political  unrest deepens. The US gets weaker, more chaotic.

It hurts you, but it also sends a very clear  message to all those other countries in Asia you. would like in your sphere of influence that hey,  the United States probably not going to come to. our rescue if we have some kind of conflict with  China. Maybe we better come to terms with China. So this is not obvious to a lot of the geniuses  who run our country because they think in terms. purely of military force. You know how many how  big's your army? How many nukes do you have?

What's your navy look like? But from a Chinese  perspective which is longitudinal tend to think. in terms of like years not just quarterly  reporting periods. This is greatly to your. advantage. Greatly to your advantage. Why would  you want to stage a military invasion of, say, Taiwan, the one every think tank in Washington  is always telling us is coming any minute,

when you could just send a really clear message  to the Taiwanese government that reunification. with China is inevitable. And let's do this the  easy way, the non- messy way. Let's do here what. we did in Hong Kong. Let's just bring all the  provinces home without having to kill anybody. And by the way, you have no choice because the  country you thought was going to protect you. clearly isn't. Can't even protect Qatar. Can't  protect downtown Dubai. Is it really going to.

protect you? Does the US have the physical ability  to project power in the South China Sea when it. can't even keep the drug cartels in Tijana under  control? Probably not. So stop with the pretense. and let's come to terms favorable to us. Well, of  course China thinks that way and of course that's. in their interest. All these dumb fantasies about  a showdown in East Asia between the US and China.

They're in nobody's interest, but only China  seems to understand that. So if you're China, maybe you don't come to the rescue right away.  Maybe you let the pain continue for a while just. to make it really clear who's in charge. And once  again, you'll know who's in charge by who settles. the conflict. The person or nation that restores  order is dad. That's who's in charge. That's the.

head of household. That's the head of the world.  So that's what's at stake. Who runs the world? Now, is this good or bad from an American  perspective? Well, that's a more complicated. question. Short-term, of course, it's bad. There's  a humiliation coming at some point. You hope it's. not too profound. You hope it's not, you know,  10 times worse than the fall of Saigon in 1975.

or the retreat from Kbble just a few years  ago. You hope not because it's dispiriting. and people will die and it's just awful in every  way. But at some point it will become clear that. the United States couldn't do the thing that  great powers do which is keep commerce going. And so it doesn't mean the United States is not  a great power. It just means it's not as great. as maybe some people imagined it was. It's not  as powerful as our leaders told us it was and. in some cases actually thought it was. And what  that really means is the unipolar moment is over.

now has been over for a while, but in the  minds of your average US senator from Nebraska, we're in charge of everything and everyone will  just bow to our terms. And that's not true. Hasn't. been true for at least 15 years. It's definitely  not true now and no one will be able to deny it. So, that's going to be hard for some people to  accept. It could be disputing to us as a nation, but it reflects reality and it's not the end  of American power or prosperity. It might in.

fact be the beginning of actual power and more  durable prosperity. The kind rooted in resources. and production, the kind that's not necessarily  dependent on finance. So, it doesn't need to be. a disaster, but it's definitely going to be a  global reshuffleling. And it revolves around.

the question of resources. It revolves around  what President Trump to his credit understands, which is ultimately power derives from  prosperity. Rich countries are powerful. Rich countries get to build powerful militaries to  express and in rare occasions exert their power. But wealth comes from resources. And what  are resources? Resources are food, water,

and energy. The three things necessary for life,  for growth, for civilization, food, water, energy. Food by and large comes from energy by the way.  Huge percentage of fertilizer comes from natural. gas. But it takes energy to make food of course.  But a country's resources, its physical resources,

the things it finds in the ground are essential  to that country's prosperity. So physical reality. matters. And that's harder and harder to keep in  mind when our day-to-day realities are determined. by things that are not real. Electrical impulses,  ones and zeros, the digital world. But the digital. world has limits. And those limits arrive at,  say, lunchtime when you're hungry. You can't.

eat Instagram. You have to eat food. And that's  produced by people grown in the ground, watered. with water. So physical reality intrudes and  Trump because he is in the best way at his best a. primitive person understands the primitive reality  which is we need these things. So if you look at. the world that way, what are the rich countries?  What are the rich hemispheres? Well, again, Asia.

has relatively speaking very little energy. A lot  of highly productive countries starting with Japan. and China are totally dependent on other countries  for resources. And of course, if you paid any. attention to what happened in the last century,  you know, imperial Japan became imperial because. it didn't have enough resources. And that's why it  went into China, and that's why it invaded a bunch.

of its neighbors. And that's how we wind up in  a in a war with it. So, this question doesn't go. away. And if you look at the world through that  lens, you see that we're in a pretty good spot. because the United States, as the president never  tires of saying, has deep resources, land, water, and lots of energy. Now, in the specific question  of oil, it's a little bit more complicated than. you have heard. The US does actually import quite  a bit of oil. What we have is a massive abundance.

of natural gas which 25 years ago was considered  kind of marginally significant. Now it's. understood to be you know a a critical resource  from which all kinds of different products that. you use every day and pharmaceuticals and as  noted fertilizer and electricity all come. The. United States has huge reserves of natural gas,  but our region, North America, South America,

the Caribbean, the Western Hemisphere, has massive  reserves of energy, has huge amounts of water, fresh water, which matters, and has the world's  best farmland. So we are in a very rich hemisphere.

and we haven't really internalized that.  So actually if the world cleaves in two, if China fully controls the east or mostly  controls the east and we mostly control the west, probably something we could live with. probably  not a terrible thing for the United States, but it would require a totally different way of  thinking. It would require the US government,

the Pentagon, the State Department, the the White  House, all the academics that feeded information. and deep thoughts about what the empire should  be. would require all of them to change the way. they think about the United States and its place  in the world. So all of a sudden what happens in. Brazil which have massive reserves of freshwater  farmland and energy would be way more important.

than what happens in Saudi Arabia. And that's not  a bad thing because we have a lot in common with. Brazil. It's a Christian country with a romance  language in our hemisphere right there directly. beneath us. It's a country almost the size of the  continental United States. It's a huge country. It's a beautiful country by the way. And Saudi  Arabia is on the other side of the world. So, why. wouldn't you spend a lot more time thinking about  what happens in Brazil, trying to improve Brazil,

make it more stable, make it more pro-American,  not roll in and steal its oil, its resources, but. bring it into your sphere of influence. Well, you  know, a country that was thinking clearly would do. that and would have been doing that for like the  past 200 years. and not just in a Marshall Monroe. Doctrine way. We're not going to tolerate this,  tolerate that, but actually try to integrate your.

economies a little bit more. Again, have positive  influence, some sway over Brazil. And then you. think, well, if Brazil's important, what about  Canada and Mexico, which are literally on our. borders, which are huge energy producers? Canada  has far more oil than the United States. far more. fresh water than the United States. Canada is  the fourth biggest has the fourth biggest oil.

reserves in the world. How much do Americans know  about Canada? Well, Canada happens to be falling. apart as a nation. Completely falling apart. It's  in a state of domestic chaos. It's become a police. state under the influence of China. Canada, the  country with which we share the longest border. Our most critical ally on the globe is Canada, the  country we ignore. How many Americans know what. its capital is or how to pronounce it? Probably  under half. Canada is the single most important.

relationship that we have. It has always been our  largest trading partner. But going forward, as. American influence recedes to our hemisphere, what  happens in Canada matters more than anything else. Maybe we should think about that. Maybe we  should try to exert some influence on Canada. Not necessarily by force, though by force if  necessary. You could certainly make a regime.

change argument about Canada. Talk about a  country that's oppressing its own citizens. Killed almost 100,000 of them through its  state sponsored killing program, maids. You could make a human rights case to invade  Canada. Not that we should, but if ever there. was a people that needed liberation from a  government that hates them, it's the Canadians, of course. But you could make a case based on  self-interest and regional interest, even on.

decency, to have a lot more positive influence on  the internal affairs of Canada than we currently. do. Canada's not a sovereign country. It never has  been, ever. It's part of the British Commonwealth. Now it's some sort of colony of India and China.  It's never been sovereign and there's no reason. that it should be. It should be decent and  wellrun for the benefit of its own citizens.

And you could say the same for Mexico. Mexico has  brought benefits to the United States. A lot of. decent people have come from Mexico. There's a  lot of American manufacturing in Mexico. A lot. of great vacation spots in Mexico, a lot of great  Mexicans. But overall, Mexico has been a massive. problem for the United States, both because of  mass migration from Mexico, because of the ongoing.

drug war in Mexico, which has now moved into the  United States. There's massive cartel influence. in the United States. There are politicians in  the United States taking money from the cartels. America is with every passing day becoming  more like Mexico and not in a good way. Mexico. has harmed the United States in a lot of ways,  real ways, measurable ways. The migrant crisis, all those illegals Biden led in, they all mostly  came through Mexico with the knowledge in some.

cases the cooperation of the Mexican government.  That's the behavior of an enemy nation. They don't. need to be an enemy. But fixing that will require  paying some attention to what happens in Mexico. That's not bad. That's good. That'll be good for  Mexico and it's necessary for the United States. So why is all this relevant now? Because what's  happening in Iran is the end of American empire as. we understand it. And that's sad. Boohoo. Empire's  dying. But it's not the end of the United States.

It's not the end of our influence on other  nations. Hopefully positive influence. It's. not the end of our economy. It's the beginning  of a very rough time in our economy, of course, but it's hardly the end of it. What we've been  doing for likely your lifetime if you're under. 80 is well, it's not working anymore. It hasn't  actually helped the United States long term.

Your grandkids at this point don't have the  promise of a better life than you had. So, it's not actually a successful experiment  and now it's ending because we've reached. the limits of our demonstrated power. We can't  open the straits of Hormuz. The president of the. United States said that last night. Someone  else do it. So, we're done. That's okay. It. was always going to end. Hopefully, we can  get out without a nuclear exchange. But now, it is ending. And there's going to be a lot of  suffering and sadness as a result of that end.

But there will also be there is an awful lot of  promise. Promise that the United States can act. in its own interest that it can be reasonable  that it will not be governed by deranged people. seized by hubris or get way out over their skis  and get a ton of people killed. You don't have to. occupy countries you've never been to. Can't  identify in a map. I mean, what we're doing.

doesn't work whether you approve of it morally or  not and we're going to do something else and that. something else is starting right now. So the  only point is you could with wise leadership. turn this to the advantage of the United States  and the Western Hemisphere very very easily. And there's one other advantage to this moment  which is that it has been clarifying. All of a. sudden we know what everybody in authority thinks  because they've been saying it because under.

pressure people confess. The pressure of course is  this war which a lot of people in our commentariat. a lot of people in our government certainly in  our congress a lot of people in Israel wanted. They all wanted this and it didn't work the way  they said it would and even now it could go really. really wrong and lots of Americans could die.  Relatively speaking, a lot have died. Oh, the.

casualty numbers are so low. Okay. How about if  that was your son? Would you feel they were low? Americans have died for this at the instigation of  Israel to no material benefit to our country. And. everyone knows that. There's no denying it. That's  not a conspiracy theory. It's just a fact. And now. it's completely out in the open. So those ideas,  neoconservatism, the preservation of empire, the.

idea that you take orders from a tiny country far  away. All of those things have risen right to the. surface. No longer whispered about. We can just  say it openly because no one's hiding it anymore. and we can all say they're destructive, stupid,  and bad for the United States. So those debates. are over. We now know what's going on, and now we  can change it. The other thing we've learned is.

that huge parts of Protestant Christianity in the  United States, the leadership, totally corrupt. And not just corrupt on an obvious level like,  oh, the preacher's having an affair or they're. taking money from whomever. They're shaking down  the congregation for, you know, 20% tithes. No, corrupt on the level that matters most, which  is spiritually corrupt. They're not preaching.

Christianity, not just because of their feelalty  to Israel, which is bizarre and kind of hard to. understand, but on a even deeper level than that,  there are many Protestant American church leaders. who are preaching a religion that bears no  resemblance to Christianity. So, that's the. core problem right there. Who knows what this  is? It's not Christianity. It's not what the.

gospels describe. Yesterday at the White House,  they all show up middle of Christian Holy Week, 4 days before Easter. And not just the the fringe  Christian Zionist, John Higgy or these strange. people, but but the but the big guys. Franklin  Graham, son of Billy Graham, shows up at the White. House yesterday to pray over the president  so he will have wisdom and restraint. No.

to endorse the murder of civilians, which is  a war crime, but more important, it's a moral. crime. You can't kill people who have committed no  crime, who did nothing wrong. You can't murder the. innocent. You can't kill kids and women. And yet,  Franklin Graham is up there standing at the podium. praying for that. Now, how do you do that? Well,  by quoting something called the book of Esther,

which is in the Christian Old Testament, a  controversial book for a long time. Martin Luther. thought it shouldn't have been there, but it is  there. And it's the story, among other things, of a genocide of Persians. Oh, yeah. 75,000  Persians. Not just people who committed crimes, but people who are Persian. and that's why they  were killed. And it's in the book of Esther,

which you should read because it's interesting.  It also happens to be, maybe not coincidentally, the only book in the Christian Bible, Old and New  Testaments, that doesn't mention God. There's no. mention of God in the book of Esther. Now, there  are all kinds of theologians, and this has been. a debate for 2,000 years. And there are people  who argue that the book of Esther implies the. presence of God. God's plan unfolds in the book  of Esther. Fine. Hardly a theologian, not going.

to debate it. But if you're a Christian clergyman  or call yourself one, and you're giving spiritual. counsel to a head of state, it really matters.  And there's no reference whatsoever to Jesus. You're not preaching the gospel. You're not  speaking actual truth to actual power. You're. doing something else. Now, why is there no  mention of Jesus? Why would Franklin Graham.

refer to the book of Esther, the only book  in the Bible that doesn't mention God, when. he talks about Christianity, with the president  of the United States? Because you can't mention. Jesus. That's why because there's no evidence  that Jesus was for genocide, killing civilians, murdering the innocent, murder at all. This is God  come to earth, the Christian Messiah who allows.

himself to be tortured to death by pagans. He  knows it's coming. That's the story of Holy Week. Jesus enters Jerusalem on a donkey, not on  a stallion. He's not coming to overthrow. the oppressor by force. He's coming in in total  humility and accepting degradation and mocking. and physical torture, getting spit in the face by  soldiers, whipped. He's allowing this to happen.

because he's saying the real victory  is bigger than any victory achieved by. killing people. It's a victory  over death itself. That's the. Christian message. That's the opposite  of the message you heard from Christian. leaders at the White House on the eve of the  president's speech about the war yesterday.

What does that tell you? The point is not  that they're bad or silly or practicing. another religion other than Christianity. All  of that's true. But the point is not to beat. up on poor Franklin Graham. The point is  that it's the end of something. Whatever. that religion is is not going to continue. It  just won't because it's a lie. And so it will.

end as all lies do. It will be revealed as a  lie as all lies are. And so you're watching. the end of the global American empire, the  unipolar world that was great, by the way, while. it lasted, but it's over. And you're watching the  end of whatever American Protestant Christianity, one of the greatest and most positive forces in  the history of this world, whatever it became.

after the Second World War, which is something  unrecognizable. The people who built National. Cathedral on the highest point in Washington DC,  one of the most beautiful buildings in the United. States were Episcopalians. They built that that  cathedral and it was the nation's cathedral was. also above all a tribute to God. And you can tell  by its beauty that it was. And now it's populated.

by people who share almost nothing in common  with the people who built it. And that's the. story of all human institutions and all human  schemes. They all come to an end, of course, cuz they're devised by people who are silly and  venal and lack foresight and they're just limited, cuz we all are much more than we imagine.  And so all of that dies at some point. And. we just happen to have the misfortune or the  great luck to be living in the middle of the.

moment where these great institutions and the  expectations that come along with them are dying. right in front of us right now. And that's  sad. It's hard to watch. It'll affect your. sleep if you think about it too much. But it's  also a prerequisite. It is a necessary step. And this is something that all Christians  are thinking about in Holy Week to rebirth.

The seed doesn't produce the tree until it dies.  And so the death of the unipolar moment and of. the institutions within the evangelical movement,  American Protestant Christianity are going away. But they will be replaced by something better  and purer, more true to itself, constructive,

unifying, healing institutions  that build and don't just destroy. That's going to happen. And God willing, we will live to see it. So rejoice in  that. as sad as this is and happy Easter.

So, if you're following the war with Iran,  you probably notice something strange. The. coverage is everywhere, but the facts are  hard to find. They're not actually telling. you anything. How many people have been killed?  What are the actual stakes for this country, your country, our country, the United States?  The basic questions, the ones that matter. You. can't actually find out because this is a censored  moment. You're not learning the truth. And that's. not accidental. If you want to learn the truth,  you need to stand up for the First Amendment,

which is your birthright as an American. And  we've set up our company TC on the Tucker Carlson. Network to make it possible for you to participate  in the long American tradition of freedom. And. the core of freedom is the right to know the truth  and say the truth. That's your godgiven right. God. gave that to you. We're free to do that because we  are totally independent. We have zero investors, no corporate owners. We are supported by  our members, the people who watch. So, we hope you will consider joining  us. Visit tuckercarlson.com/join.