Is Russia now winning the war in Ukraine?

What has happened is Russia now has the. advantage in drones. There is a kill. zone that extends 20 kilometers beyond. the rear and you have an extraordinary. situation which is just think about. this. More casualties among the. Ukrainian side are now inflicted among. drone crews and logistics personnel in. the rear than are inflicted on infantry. at the front, at least on some areas of. the front. And that shows you the. Russian advantage in battering the. Ukrainian rear areas. And for me, uh, I.

worry deeply that that attrition curve. is moving against Ukraine in an. unsustainable way in the very long run. >> Ed, I know you have a slightly different. view. >> First of all, the problems of drones. particularly are are things that can be. addressed with money uh, and aid. It. isn't as if this is written into. scripture that that means Ukraine has to. lose the war. The second thing is Russia. has problems too. And one of the the. whole strategies here is Russia to. convey inexurability.

This is all over. You have to start. cutting your losses now. That's exactly. what the Kremlin wants us to believe. It. might be true, but I don't think it has. to be true. If you look at Russia's. position now, it's running out of Soviet. era weapons very quickly. It's. struggling a bit more, not as much as. Ukraine to um mobilize manpower. Its. economy is under pressure. The oil price. projections for the next three years, which were above $80 a barrel in 2023. and 2024, are going down to around $50 a.

barrel. All I'm trying to say is. Russia's under pressure, too, and it may. have all these advantages. It is causing. problem. Ukraine does have difficulties, but the idea that Russia can make. massive advances. It doesn't have the. equipment. It's very vulnerable. It's. losing men at an enormous rate. And this. whole Kremlin strategy, I think, has a. risk of becoming a self-fulfilling. prophecy.