This Is How Trump Will Destroy His Own Goons | Inside Trump's Head

There are four months left to what could well. turn out to be the most historic election in our lifetimes. It could unleash an already unleashed Donald Trump. Or it could close it down. How much wind is against all Trump at this point? And if the wind is against Donald Trump, as it seems. now that it is that it is, then it's over. Donald Trump's capacity to shoot himself in the foot,

he would never be underestimated. It would seem, now that he has gone down the path. to do almost everything to undermine the Republicans. Michael. Joanna. Happy fourth. What are you doing for July the 4th? You know, I. live in the Hamptons, so virtually every day is July 4th. Oh, please. It's not.

Every day is 250 years of American independence. As you know, I think nothing of import happened that day. You know, I, I mean, it's getting my head. around to I mean, frankly, I'm still in 200 because I remember that. Well, in 1976, you told me. Yes. Guess where I saw that from. the World Trade Center, the World Trade Center. The whole landscape of New York. was different. Yes.

So anyway, I haven't caught up to 250, which seems an arbitrary number. Well, and who would have known 50 years ago. because Donald Trump was on the scene then in New York. Right. That he would be president for a second time running. Just just coming on the scene, actually. Okay. That was you both were just coming on the scene. We both and I, you know, and I saw him on the scene after that quite often.

Right? I mean, in fact, you could not for, for quite a long period. go out in New York at night without seeing Donald Trump. And he saw you with your beautiful hair that we have. had so many comments on since, since we shared. the photo of your magnificent hair when you were a student body president. All right. So we've got the midterms coming up. It looks like the wind is against drum. Of course. Well,

let's let's frame this. with with more, more gravitas. I mean, there are four months left to what could well. turn out to be the most historic election in our lifetimes. And it could go either way. It really unleashes Donald Trump, could unleash. it, could unleash an already unleashed Donald Trump, or it could close it down.

Forget it. Donald Trump over done with just cleaning up the it's over. It's full lame duck. Donald Trump goes full lame duck. All right, where do we begin? Do we want to think about the races that really are tight? No, I think we want to take a bigger picture. I think a bigger picture, because I think that there is really only. I mean, there's a central thing that matters here. And it's it's that kind of psychological factor how.

how much wind is against Donald Trump at this point. And if the wind is against Donald Trump, as it seems now that it is that it is. Then it's. then it's over, then it doesn't matter then actually, every every individual race matters significantly less. And it just means that that the wave, the blue scenario is going to carry everybody,

carry all of the Democrats into Congress. And effectively Donald Trump out of Wash is Donald Trump's candidates away. And that could very well happen. I think it's absolutely poised. I think he has after this, this what will then. be almost two years of of of Donald Trump. He has run. from any political. in any political context,

a completely irresponsible let's not forget policy, forget democracy just from a political point of view. He has done he it has been completely irresponsible. It has as though been designed to alienate people. So so he's made it all about himself, which is actually one of the criticisms. that Obama got when he was in office, that he didn't do enough.

to support the party, that he was very much a lone wolf candidate, of course, different kind of lone wolf, but I can't imagine anything worse. right now than being a Republican Congress person. hoping to get back into office with this man as the head of the party. and as president. He's done nothing to help anybody get back into office. He's only served to undermine them. Yeah, and to serve up candidates who have a significantly.

diminished chance. of winning and therefore supporting the, the the party's majorities, which which it would seem. by every indication that they will lose their majority in Congress. And every day they seem to have a better chance. of losing their majority, except for, except for. And I'm going to antagonize everybody watching and every listening,

everybody listening by saying they accept that the opposition is. the opposition is Michael, the Democrats, the Democrats who often cannot get out of their way? No, absolutely. But before even going that I just want to get the fundamentals here. And the first fundamental is the wave. It just is whatever is everybody. If the if the thing in everybody's head is that. we are tired of Donald Trump, we're we're tired of the drama.

We're tired of the rudeness, the kind of chaos of it all, the unpleasantness of it all. But then the then the next. So that's one fundamental. The next fundamental is turnout. I mean, all elections. That's that is the that's it. I mean, if you don't turn out your people or if your people don't, don't. turn themselves out because they're not motivated, you're screwed.

Now, right now, it would seem, and all of the all of the races. that we've seen, the primary races or the, the, the races to fill. empty seats have shown enormous turnout for the Democrats. The Democrats appear to be uniquely motivated. And the Republicans, frankly, they they appear to be depressed, embarrassed.

I think all of all of those things, and they're feeling it in their pocket books. They're feeling it at the checkout. Yeah. No, I mean, I mean, and we should just run down the, the, the issues that are going to be top of mind. So it is a top of mind issue is they're the wave. The wave is, is dictated by what is top of mind okay. So top of mind. It's the economy stupid.

inflation which Donald Trump has said he doesn't care about. But everything feels well. There are two. So it's the economy and it's Donald Trump okay. Those are those are the two. The two. Which do you think is most important at this point? Well. Probably Donald Trump okay. You know that's that's the that's the motivator. And if he is blamed you can get a double whack out of this is he is if he is blamed.

not only for being Donald Trump but blamed for the economy. And I think that's that's what we're looking at. But as you say, and this is truly one of the interesting things to me, almost more interesting than Donald Trump, because we, we we know where that is. Is the Democrats, their incredible ability to fuck this up. So and, you know, I mean, the Democrats basically they only have those, those,

those things to run on to write because they're running on Donald Trump. and they're running on the economy. Not that they have any idea how to fix the. Well, they're running on affordability. Right. So the kind of a morpher sense that everything's too expensive. So they're running on, not the Donald Trump. And they can. And because unless they are the they are the party out of office. So they go into a midterm election.

with the expectation that they will do considerably better than the Republicans. That's historically true. That's almost there's there's little way around that except for Joe Biden. Interestingly, Joe Biden did so well at the midterms in his last, you know, the last president we had, which unfortunately set him up. to think that he would then win in the general election, should have been.

the moment when he stepped aside and said, onto the next. Yes, what he. did less poorly than it was expected. Okay. But he still did fine. And but there's also another point here. which is important, is that the Trump. the Republicans do. appreciably poorer. when Donald Trump is not a candidate. So it's a it's a kind of a mixed thing.

We're running against Donald Trump and that's a that's a major issue. But in fact, we would be the Republicans would be helped or have historically. over the last ten years, been helped when Donald Trump is a candidate. So what would be inside his head if he loses bigly in the midterms? Does he take this personally, or does he just deny it and say all this? He just he just denies it, blame it to somebody else. Okay. Makes it his issue. Okay.

And I mean, and you can actually kind of. get inside his head and. think that's what he's doing, that he is now undermining the Republicans. in order to perhaps. blame it on them, to reinforce. the fact that they can't do anything if he's not running. Interesting. So he's in a bit of a double bind. But get back to the Democrats just just a second, because I am just.

amazed, frustrated, furious. as so many Democrats are. that they screw it up constantly. Why is that? There is just something so relentlessly. Let me answer my own question. I thought you might go on relentlessly phony seeming about them. I mean, it's it's it's as though.

no word out of their mouth is a genuine word. It's as though it's all by focus group in the in the head. It's all, you know, I mean, somebody like like, you know, you know this woman, Molly Jong Fast, who the Democrats, for some reason have pushed out in the media. Never had one original thought ever. Just a kind of cottonmouth constantly echoing what what you're supposed to.

say, trying to anticipate nervously what you're supposed to say. Okay, well, what are her talking points? What are the Democratic? Because I don't feel like this. I have spent quite a lot of time over the last few months. interviewing lots of Democratic candidates and Congress men and women, and increasingly impressed by how serious they are, how disciplined they are. Many of them come out of the military and they see mission oriented to win. Tell me what the mission is. The mission, other than to win.

To win one mission is to win the constituents. Tell me an original idea. Well, Republicans are full of. cockamamie, original ideas. Well, I think I think the original idea is. and it's not an original idea, it's James Carville and the Clinton thing. It's the economy, stupid. It's just now called affordability. And it's about making. So they just changed the name of an old idea. Yeah, but at least it had no with have. and no demonstrable abilities.

to actually fix the economy. I mean, Joe Biden, they do have a plan to fix the economy. It's largely to tax the rich. Which of which you would be one. I mean, I think it's I mean, I'm slightly facetious, but I don't agree with you. I don't actually about and also the Democrats. that you have been talking to, by the way, are the Democrats who are.

do not seem to be ascendant at this point. You haven't had James Talarico. He's totally in this. And I don't have the Democrat, you know, Democratic socialists. I don't see them coming on this this table. I don't see you talking to what's the name of that woman who has just. just who's going to defeat the entire Republican Party? Chevalier. You haven't interviewed any of the Democratic Socialists or whatever. Well, Graham Plattner is running on a progressive platform.

Winfield Graham Plattner. Yes, progressive. You like Graham Plattner? I do like Graham Plattner. I think he's the sort of versus Susan Collins. Susan Collins, we've said this before. Susan Collins is the I. Okay. I see you're you're against the Heidemann. You want to know I got it. You're a you're a Democrat. You're Molly. No I'm pro I'm pro. Women having choice over their own bodies.

I'm pro women having options. If they get pregnant. If that's a Democrat position, then I'm a Democrat. It's a lot of Republican women's positions to. And Susan Collins made that less possible. Would I rather have Graham Platina in Maine. Yes I would you know I would be I mean sure, but in been there enough time. enough enough now these jobs should have I think there should be term limits. The president's, you know, term limits.

It's. Yes. Nevertheless. the contrast here and I have no I don't know who should who who people in. Maine should vote for and I assume and I hope and I hope it's a Republican. It turns into a Democratic Senate. But nevertheless, you have Susan Collins, who is who is a professional. who has done this job, who knows how to do this job, who has. who has been elected, who is viewed.

enormously favorable by her constituency. And then you have someone who's who's a just a wild card. This is what we know about Graham Plattner. Nothing. He is a wild card. He has. And there's all kinds of indications that he is a serious wild card. So if you want to vote for that, this is what you know. And it is someone who has. who has in certainly demonstrated their professionalism.

And this is someone. No, no. But this is exactly what got Donald Trump elected. People don't want professional politicians anymore. They see them feathering their nest. They see them looking out for themselves. Yeah. Do you hear what you're saying? That's what you that's that's what got us Donald Trump. So we're going to apply that same logic to Graham Plattner. Okay. Well that's a good argument okay.

Well argued I myself into a corner there okay. I can see that. Nevertheless I think it's time for fresh blood. Ed Markey I don't know I don't even know what that means. Fresh blood. I think it means people who haven't been in Congress or Senate for 50 years. Well, that's most of the people in the country. You know, that means anybody off the street qualifies for fresh blood. And a lot of these people seem often to run. We have, you know, Chevalier,

you know, grad student, grad student, grad student. Chevalier going to Washington. Well, that's because she got the endorsement of. Mamdani, right? Yeah. No, I mean, mom Donny himself. Yeah. No. Mean. Well, yeah, I'm just saying that people. are constantly pointing out there like Michael says yes, and he says no. Then he's, it's a it's a clearing of the, of the palate cleanser of night. and trying to acknowledge that these things are nuanced are complicated.

But nevertheless, at the same time, Mamdani, who is also is a person without a job, without experience. You know, there is. Well, the answer is no logic that would have made him the mayor. And I'm not saying he's not going to be a good mayor. And he hasn't had a, had a, had a really good, a good, good run since his election.

But. You know. Come on. Well, this is who you're running against. Right. Mamdani was running against Curtis Sliwa, who's. an eccentric on the New York scene and nobody thinks could do anything. And Andrew Cuomo, who'd resigned. from being governor. after being accused by multiple women of sexual harassment and had been seen. as an incredible opportunist over Covid when he accepted $5 million.

to write a book on American leadership, which he made his staff to, apparently, no, nobody likes, nobody likes Andrew Cuomo. Of the three of them, me always liked him. His time had been and gone. I get it, I get it, I get it. Anyway, let's let's go on midterms. Who wins? Who loses what? I think it's too early to know whether or not Trump. is going to pull something out of the hat, or whether or not people are so, so over.

Donald Trump that whatever he pulls out of that, well, we have a couple of things he could the shot at. Again, remember how helpful that was to him? The Butler, Pennsylvania. Totally. And there is the thing about, you know what? Everyone in everyone who works for Donald Trump will almost immediately. caution you and say, you know, remember, it's Donald Trump, right? And somehow, I mean, we're here ten years later. How did this happen? I mean, and he has he has this remarkable first thing.

He has remarkable luck, and then he has. that one gift that no other. He has a gift, a gift greater than any other politician, which is the gift to be able to command attention. Right. So what attention. And there are. there are four months, and four months is both a very short period of time. I mean, it's a very short period of time to pull prices down.

It's a very short period of time to fix the economy. It's it. it's a very. short period of time in which you're trusting. that people are not going to remember this catastrophic and ludicrous war in Iran. But on the other hand, it's four months in which anything can happen. Well, and he may also now he's reduced his messaging. It's as if he started the war and he didn't quite know what he was doing. He's now got the message for the war, you know, four months.

in, which is Iran must not have a nuclear weapon. And now you hear people out in focus groups on vox pops and things saying, well, you know, I know the price of gas is up, but Iran must not be allowed to have a nuclear weapon. And you're like, oh, the messaging might be getting through. No. Again, that other thing that that Trump gift. simplify and repeat, simplify and repeat even if it's completely. Democrats complicate and digress. Well, do we want to look at specific races?

I mean, we've talked about no, no. We've got Maine and Texas in the Senate. Are the two really interesting? So mean. Let's just be so Maine is now. is now in incredibly close I mean Plattner is. would seem to have a slight advantage at this point over Collins. Well, I do think there's a favorable to new candidates versus old. I really do. And I think there will be,

you know, clearly a ton of money flooding into Maine. I think his was the most expensive primary. Yeah. No, I mean, I mean, I think it is and I think I mean, he certainly could win. I think we have a bet on this. I tend to think that he will. You know, screw it up. But and I tend to think also also, you know, there's a reason these people like Susan Collins and win again and again.

and again because they know something, they understand. something about their constituency. So I'm not saying she's not a formidable opponent. Clearly she is. But I just think he'll win. Oh well we will we will see. We've got money on it. What have we got on whatever. An Inside Trump's head mug. Invaluable. But then but then the more perhaps the more interesting race. because they're neither of neither of them are incumbents. Yep.

It's complete is Texas and it's Texas. Well it's Texas so it's easy. And Donald Trump has well, Texas is not that eccentric. It is actually reliably Republican and has been for. what are we talking the better part of 20 years now. So so Talarico is. it would be extraordinary if he wins and he may win. So it may be extraordinary.

Well, an extraordinary because Donald Trump. has really put his thumb or tried to put his thumb on the scale. by supporting Ken Paxton over the incumbent, John Cornyn, who actually there was an incumbent who was. what's the word scooped out of the way by Donald Trump, who has found a character very much like himself who's been impeached. He was the former ag biblical scale.

divorce and a brilliance, also like Trump, of commanding attention and being shameless utterly shamelessly. That's why. Which is why Talarico has a chance here, because he's. running against Ken Paxton and he's popular in the state. He's been a state senator for some time. He's a former teacher. He's training to be a minister, and he has a very mild manner. And he talks about wanting to repair the culture that he says, as you know.

But I1I wonder if that's if that's his. if that's his strong card. I think the strong card is Ken Paxton. But but maybe clearly his card is Ken Paxton. Do you actually want this guy representing you? He he seems to be an alleged crook. He's also very mild mannered. And whether or not he can. suggest to people that he knows what to do for the economy, I don't know. Mild mannered in politics in. in 2026 is not necessarily a calling card.

Well, it's the big switcheroo and the pendulum is moved. And, you know, unless, like wide legged pants, mild is back. In which case your friend Andy Beshear. might stand a chance in 2028 because he's super mild. He's like Kraft cheese slice. No. You think. I mean, that would be great news if we all if this all went back to boring. And then Andy Beshear is really the poster child for Andy Beshear.

Again taking a stray in our conversation. I think he took a stray last time and he's getting another one this time. So the other so those are the Senate races. But let me let's let's talk though inside Trump's head, if Ken. Paxton loses what does he. And I can't really figure this out. How does I mean clearly. Well he will really blame shame John Cornyn somehow. Clearly Trump is responsible for this. Ken Paxton does not exist without Donald Trump.

And if they lose Texas, which then may mean they lose the Senate. How has he come back from that? How does he. How does he create a justification? Who does he blame for that? Don't you think he'll blame the Republican senators? He's going to blame John Thune. He's going to blame John Cornyn, the outgoing senator, that he primaried. I mean, yeah, but that doesn't I mean, there's got to be.

I mean, he's good at blaming, but this doesn't seem even for Donald Trump. This seems like a bridge too far. No, no, no. There is no such phrase even for Donald Trump. How can you even say that out loud? You know, there is a bridge further. You know there is a bridge further. All right. So that's the Senate race. So Maine and Texas very much in play, incredibly tight, very exciting races. This is like the playoffs at this point. So exciting. It's like general the the Democrats need to win four seats in the Senate.

They need to not lose any seats and win four seats. That's that is what going to do. that needs the the. the the wind, the wind, the hurricane against Trump. Right. So they need to win four seats out of 100. Right. The House is much more interesting because there's probably to 40. seats in play and two of them are local which are quite interesting.

Local for us, local for us, our audience, not for our audience. Sorry about that. That's very self-absorbed. Well, let's let's do the one that's that's that's so eccentric that I think. Oh, I think it would appeal to anyone, anywhere. No, it's a fascinating story. Tom Keene in New Jersey. Right. Who has missed a hundred? I'm going to say that one more time. A hundred votes because he just disappeared.

Well, he disappeared. It's not. It's not even that. I mean, some, you know, there are are occasions when, when, when a member of Congress gets sick and there's. a much discussion about the, about that person's health and what's going on. And, and a certain sympathy is engendered on that basis. Right. Because everybody wants to be empathetic to someone who's junior, who is. who is the son of a former governor of new Jersey, has just disappeared.

Literally no one has known where he is, what. he's what, what is going on, what his health issues said. There's a health issue. No one knows what that is. Is he dying? Is he is he something else? It. This has been absolutely opaque. a a mystery, almost as though as though it was set up to be a mystery. And then there would be a reveal, the mystery of the missing congressman.

Last Tuesday he returned. He returned to Congress. And. And then that was his reveal. What was what was up. He was suffering from depression. I would be depressed, too, if I were a Republican. So that that he, in other words, that he was. Have mental health issues. Well, I was going to say that where where was Tom Kean? He was in the loony bin.

I don't think you call it that anymore. Oh, I'm sure you don't. I'm sure you're going to take this out. No, I'm not going to take it out. Okay. But that is I mean, that also prompts the question. Okay, so you couldn't have told people this, right? I don't understand. why they didn't tell people because first of all, well, you know, there is. I mean, I mean, one of the reasons you don't tell people is that you do. consider it still the loony bin, which we don't consider that anymore. And it's just a, a health issue that you're addressing.

Right? I mean, but obviously they've turned this into some well, they've now. turned it into something. because the minute you don't tell anybody something, nature abhors a vacuum. It's filled with all sorts of conspiracy theories, especially online. So he was depressed. He went into an institution to have some help. There's no shame in that. People do it all the time. Actually, it's one of the good things that Senator. Fetterman has, has talked about this thing of feeling depressed, though. he was depressed, post-stroke, and he has other issues in office.

But it shouldn't be an issue of shame by not admitting to it. in that kind of a role. Alas, you draw attention to it. And also, he missed a hundred votes and nobody understood why. At any rate, he is being a. seemingly. very eligible Democrat is running against him. Yes. Who is that? It's Rebecca Bennett, isn't it? Right. And she's you know, she's phenomenal.

She's a helicopter pilot. I mean, these young military candidates. or they let me just stop you there to see the helicopter pilot I know. Let's let's listen. Lauren Sanchez's going to run for office. Repeat that. She's a helicopter pilot who wants to go to Congress. Being a helicopter pilot and being in Congress, there is no crossover in experience, skill. sets, temperament, and else.

These are two examples. You have to be quite calm to be a helicopter pilot, don't you? Because what if you hit turbulence? I don't know, I'm sure you've never met a helicopter pilot. You have no idea. I think there's this very interesting generation. of military people. Mikey. Cheryl is another one. Helicopter pilot stormed into the governorship. Okay, you're talking, and I don't. And I don't disagree.

But when you talk about this new generation, you also have to talk about this other, other part of the new generation. of Democrats who will probably be. complicate things for the Democrats, which is these mundane. group of democratic socialists who are. who are first thing far left. and and against Israel. So that really I mean, the other the helicopter pilots.

and the military people, that's, that's that's that's from. one piece of the Democratic game book play a book. And they're all they're all moderates, the Slotkin and even veering. toward the conservative side of the, of the liberal agenda. And then you have the exact opposite people who are not moderates. People who are. Who who.

represent an altogether new direction for the Democratic Party. Well, and they're sort of. they've inherited the mantle from mittens, Bernie Sanders, very much so. And I mean, he is. So it's just it's not it's the combination of Mamdani. and Bernie Sanders and AOC and AOC. So and this is a. I mean, this this may be or this is a question. that we will see if this is if this is which way,

this is that this is the ascendant group of the Democratic Party. I mean, that's the fear of a lot of people, and it's the hope. of the Republicans. But I think locally it's not. I mean, the primaries are over now. Right? So that sort of civil war. going on in the Democratic Party has sorted itself out for the midterms. Oh, I don't think so. I don't think that that's true at all. I think this will become the issue against Democrats, that.

the one of the issues that the Republicans will pursue. Chevalier, Chevalier, you were going to come to know we barely know this name. Now we are going to come this is going to be the best known name in America. The grad student Chevalier, because her platform is essentially Gaza. That and she said all kinds of I mean, there's a whole litany. of social media, a social media trail. of, of things that, that.

that many people in the country might consider reprehensible. So do you think that she will lose the seat for the Democrats? I mean, it's a pretty safe Democratic seat. No, she will probably she will probably win that seat. But she but she or her presence and the other people are who. she will come to symbolize might well damage prospects. for other Democrats, especially swing situations.

I wonder if people will just vote locally this time around, though. Well, I mean, that's a that's a that's a hard thing to say because. because in effect, the Democrats are asking people to vote nationally. This is against Trump. We are against Trump. So we're the Democrats are trying to nationalize this election. That's where a wave, a blue wave comes from, a blue tsunami comes from. So and then but then.

also asking them, forget about Chevalier. It's not really. And I think the Republicans are going to come storming back. Chevalier. Chevalier. Right. But you know, it's. I mean, I mean, I mean, you're going to come back to this which which has always. I mean, this has now played out over, over, over ten years. The, the Republicans trying to pin this left wing communist,

whatever kind of thing on, on, on a set of on, on the Democrats. which shown no inclination even AOC seems like. the so seems like a regular old political career. Well and this right. And the squad which once seemed so out. there has had the corners rubbed off it. Right. Yeah. It's not as though the, the, the Republicans don't have an issue here.

So that should you know, I mean, it seems overwhelmingly the Democrats. have an issue because what, what what what issue is bigger than Donald Trump. Right. But, you know, Donald Trump exists in part. because a not insignificant part of the country. found the. Democrats, you know, a hard pill to swallow. Well, and you remember how effective the trans ad against boys.

in girls sports was at the general election? It's highly possible they could do that with Chevalier and turn her. some of the things she said into one of those ads. You know, completely. To what extent do you think the problem here is also that there seems. to be that there's no overall leader yet. national leader for the Democrats,

there's no singular voice. And of course, they say, well, we're a big tent party. We don't need a singular voice. You've got to vote local. But the Republicans, well, they're usually effectively with one voice, but there is usually not a singular voice in the midterms. And and that's usually. that may. be an advantage because because the focus then becomes, becomes. the person who is the singular voice, who is the incumbent, who is Donald Trump.

So the, the, the, the Republicans can't go. after that singular representative of, of of what they're asking people to vote against. So it's not like a, a, a general election where it's a binary essentially. No, it's more like Gulliver, which is Donald Trump. And then the Lilliputians, which is the Democrats.

Okay, I think that's a suitable analogy. So of course, as you're saying, people, when you're talking to them in the white House. say, well, you can't rule anything out, it's Donald Trump. He could pull something out of the bag. No one would have anticipated. Butler, Pennsylvania. And the incredible lift that gave him. Remember when Elon Musk came out and said, oh my goodness, he's my candidate? On the other hand, right. It's very possible that he will do things that are detrimental,

deeply detrimental to the Republicans, you know, Donald Trump's capacity. to shoot himself in the foot, he would never be underestimated. So and he's you know, all. I mean, it would seem now that he has gone down the path. to do almost everything to undermine the Republicans. I mean, he's now literally under I mean, he has he's literally.

so far refusing to sign this bipartisan housing Act. Yeah. And get made law anyway. But he's what he's stolen from the Republicans is the ability. to show that they care. and that this would have been very helpful. This was actually a bipartisan win that might have helped them. during the midterms. Right. And he's calling this marginal or some I mean, he's literally dismissing this. The one of the if not the pivotal issue in this campaign.

Paid no attention to that. That's not that's what I want is this voting bill. that is never going to pass and which people don't care about. because people don't care about. And also, I suspect that people think, no, he's he's he's screwing around with the election. Right. Do you think they are thinking that? Yeah, I think Democrats might be thinking that. I don't know if Republicans are thinking, well, there's no and there's Republicans,

and then there's the people in between who are at issue here. Right. Okay. All right. So should we take a bet on it with four. with four months out, how many seats do you think the Democrats are going to win? Oh, I should first just say what about the gerrymandering? To what extent do we. Well, no, I mean, I think I think obviously obviously that is. that will play somewhat appears like it will play somewhat to his benefit.

But of course, if the wave, the blue wave is. the hurricane is big enough, it's not going to make any difference. Right. It might give him a few seats here or there. I mean. Mississippi, but not no, not not necessarily. I mean, it actually could have the opposite effect that this could be. a significant backfire, remember,

because, you know, when you when you, when you move Republicans into another district, you move them out of the district that they were in. This is a comp this at some level, this is a zero sum game. Okay. I'm not sure I understand that. Well, just just just think if you have you have to move the Republicans. You have a Democratic district over here or, or district.

That swing district was formerly. weighted to the Democrat side or was a swing side. So in order to make that more Republican, you have to take Republicans from somewhere else and put them there. Therefore, if you take Republicans from somewhere else, then they're not going to be where they once were. So you're going to reduce one becomes. one becomes more, less swing, but.

the one becomes more swing. So and if you have a wave, then that means that you're going to. that you're going to potentially your design for gerrymandering. may go in a in a counter indicated fashion. It really should be fantasy political leagues at this point, shouldn't there? Why is nobody doing that or are they doing it? There may be right. Would we know?

But this is our we're such nerds. This is our sport. Why are you looking like that? You're a nerd. Well, no. First thing, I don't think that that's that, that's that's true. Matter of fact, you know, once you're a nerd, I once in my. know I am. I don't think I'm a nerve. And I don't think you're. I've known you for years and years. You have. We have never had a political discussion.

So I don't think you're interested in. I don't think you're a political nerd. I don't even think you're interested in politics. We're just pretend here. But what are you talking about? I'm riveted by this stuff. I'm interested in the people. I'm interested in the characters. And. And that's the change of. That has been done on Trump. I once ran a political magazine. What was that called then? It was a it was actually a trade magazine. for politicians, and it was called Campaigns and Elections. I can't imagine you doing that. Yes.

And this is a whole side of your life. I didn't know there's all my checkered, checkered career. But when I came into this. Washington based magazine, I came into this magazine and, and they kept saying, well, you know, who, who's your audience? And they would say, political junkies. I said, don't say that anymore. Don't call your audience junkies. So anyway, that's when they self-appointed junkies, though,

they want to be called junkies because it suggests that this is an addiction. But I am interested in the people and the characters in this. I do think that's interesting. And I think. the change of the of the world we're living in is incredibly interesting. And how Donald Trump has changed is interesting. And having grown up in Europe, I'm interested in the future of NATO. So in other words, you got interested in politics because of Donald Trump. Totally, totally. As did a lot of other people, actually. I mean, to be fair, I've always been quite interested.

I was never interested in politics. I'm still not interested in politics. I was interested in British politics, especially when Tony Blair came to pass. But I feel stuck with Donald Trump, Donald Trump, Donald Trump, my character. Yeah. Your character. All right. Well, I think it's time that we go and enjoy July the 4th. I think there's hot dogs to be had and burgers and flags to wave.

Are you coming to my neighborhood? I might be coming to your neighborhood. I might be coming to your neighborhood. Yes, indeed I am. I'm against it. I'm going to be out in actually, very much looking forward to it. And, you know, fireworks. Enormous fireworks. I'm just sorry we didn't go to the state fire. Fireworks. State fire. You hate fireworks? Who hates fireworks? So boring. The same. Our bit boring time. Geez. Well, this year at the state Fair, everybody waiting for them to be over. When's the finale? Is that the finale?

I know that is true, but the good news. is that the fireworks on the mall are going to be the best ever. It's going to be the biggest firework display. that's ever happened in the history of the firework world. The firework community are going to be thrilled by this. Where is he going to be? He he himself? I guess he'll be. I'm assuming he'll be at the white House, won't he? I don't know, does he come out? Did you see the AI Golden Eagle that he wants? But I'm sure he's going to come out on the balcony and look at the fireworks.

And probably I did see something about this golden eagle. Well, he's planning to put an eagle on the Truman Balcony. Oh, great. You could. get you one for your Amagansett house, if you like. I know you're going to have your flag there. I told you, I've got a flag, which I'm going to put out. It's time for hot dogs. It's time for corn dogs. And we'll go to the next state fair. Michael. Happy fourth. Happy Independence day. Not independent from Donald Trump though.

with symbiotic at this point, independent from you. If you have been. Thank you for joining us. Don't forget to subscribe to The Daily Beast and happy July the 4th. Ryan, John, Heather, Rachel, Neil as always. And we have an intern. Max. Max. Max the intern. Max. The intro. Happy fourth, everybody, and we'll be back on Tuesday. So the good news is we have so many beast tier members now. There are too many names to read out and we really appreciate your support.