The Iranians Who Want More War

From The New York Times, [music] I'm. Michael Barbaro. This is The Daily. After [music] 13 consecutive days of air. strikes, the United States and Iran. [music] have temporarily paused their. fighting. But, the conflict could resume at any. moment. And inside Iran, a small but powerful. faction is determined [music] to make. sure that it does.

Today, Abdi Latif [music] to hear and. Farnaz Fassihi explain the profound. divisions within Iran [music] about. whether to keep fighting or to try to. make peace. It's Tuesday, July 28th. >> This was a very choreographed event from. the beginning.

>> A few weeks ago, the Iranian government. allowed my colleague Abdi Latif to hear. into the country. >> Immediately we landed in Tehran, we got. through immigration and essentially. you're met there by your minder. So, >> It was not long after the US and Iran. had signed a tentative peace deal, and. Abdi became the first Times reporter to. get into Iran [music]. in months. >> We had two government-appointed.

translator and a guide who pretty much. went everywhere with us. We could not leave the hotel essentially. without planning with them where we. wanted to go, what we wanted to see. >> And he was there for a very specific. purpose, to observe the multi-day. funeral service [music] for Iran's. former Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who had. been killed by the US and Israel in the. early days of the Iran war. And Abdi. says his [music] every movement at the.

funeral services. was heavily monitored. >> [music]. >> They listened in on pretty much all the. interviews and. one of the minders was also very open. with us and essentially [music] he told. me that yes at the end of every day he. basically was expected to like send a. report about our activities, where we. went, what we did during that day. >> Abdi,

why do you think that Iran let you into. the country? What do you think that they. wanted you to see? >> I think they definitely wanted us to see. the way people had come out to mourn Ali. Khamenei, the supreme leader. So, we. were very much in the middle of the. capital, the center of Tehran. For days on end, you couldn't escape the. soundscape that was coming from outside,

the chanting, the mourning, the wailing. You kind of felt like you had been. signed up for this very much. stage-managed, choreographed scene. So, you had the first day where the. dignitaries from all across the world. came to pay their respects and then. there was a procession held at Azadi. Square in which the body of Khamenei and. his relatives were now being viewed by.

the public and there were. millions who showed up that day, throughout the day and essentially like. you know, came to see the bodies despite. the heat, despite the haze, despite. everything else. People came from all. over the country. They were young, they. were old, they were on wheelchairs, they. were on crutches. The journalists were definitely being. allowed to like go on bridges and on top. of the buildings so that we could see. the sea of people who are coming. through. So, you definitely got a sense.

that even the access to these buildings. were choreographed in such a way that it. was like you had to see, you had to. experience how everybody has come from. all over the country to mourn their. leader. >> And is grief the prevailing feeling that. you get from this crowd? What exactly. are you hearing from them? >> You know, many people, you know, are in. tears. They were very sad. But they, even when they were crying, um you know,

their expressions would very quickly. harden into anger and defiance. And I remember talking to this woman. Her name was Fereshteh Soltanali, and I. watched her for a while before I. approached her because she was carrying. this flag that talked about revenge and. but she was like really in tears. And at. some point when she calmed down, like. you know, I approached her and very. quickly this idea of negotiations came. up and she was very opposed to that.

>> I'm I'm against the. negotiation. We shout in the streets, don't negotiate. No negotiation. Just. revenge. >> And I was like, well, it seems like the. guns have silenced now and essentially. that has even allowed for this massive. funeral to happen. And she said, yes, that's okay, but we do not want these. talks. We do not want these. negotiations. We want revenge for our. slain leader, and we want revenge for.

everyone else who was killed and all the. institutions that were impacted. And she. said something that I will not forget. She said that, you know, Trump cannot us. with death. >> Trump cannot scare us with death. In. other words, we're willing to die in. order to seek this revenge. >> People did not want diplomacy. They did. not want the talks. They were not for.

compromising. There was definitely a lot. of calls for the killing of Trump. There was definitely a lot of death to. America, death to Israel. And I think if there's one word that. really defined these public morning. ceremonies, it's the word revenge, which. is intiqam. We saw that written in. English, in Arabic, in Farsi. It was on. banners. It was on posters. It was on.

flags. Like, you know, people were. wearing shirts that basically said that. And pretty much like the dozens and. dozens of people that I interviewed. throughout my time in Iran at these. massive ceremonies and processions, that. is the message everybody wanted to leave. with me, that we will not compromise and. we want revenge for our slain leader. >> The timing of what you're seeing here. seems extremely important because these. crowds demanding revenge, demanding that. Trump be killed, they know full well.

that their government has just signed a. peace agreement, this memorandum of. understanding with the United States and. with President Trump. And what they're calling for is the. exact opposite of that. So, how do they square that? >> So, during these public morning. ceremonies, the public very much showed. how they felt about some of these. political leaders who had gone and had. taken part in the negotiations with the. United States. So, you had, for.

instance, Iran's president and Iran's. foreign minister then showing up to. these events and they were confronted. and targeted by crowds who basically. were very angry at the fact that they. had taken part in these diplomatic. talks. President Pishchian, you know, was. nearly knocked to the ground by these. crowds who were shouting death to the. compromiser, death to the appeaser, and. his security forces essentially rushed.

to evacuate him. You had uh Foreign Minister Araqchi who, you know, some of people in the crowd. started throwing stones at him. They. were very hostile. They were chanting, you know, basically calling him a. traitor. And essentially, he also had to. flee the scene where he was. And it was so indicative of the ways in. which revenge and avenging the supreme. leader had become so central to how.

people, at least the people who showed. up for these ceremonies, and how they. felt about that. >> Right. Because in this highly. choreographed scene that the government. is putting on and wants you to see, the. mourners are actually turning on the. government's leaders. That's how deep. these divisions are. >> Exactly. And you have like all these. hardliners, right, who are very much. opposed to these negotiations and. diplomacy with the United States. And. the only thing that they talk about and.

they. think about and they repeat consistently. is that we [music] want انتقam, انتقam, revenge, revenge. >> [music]. >> It was amid these intense calls for. revenge, as the Ayatollah's funeral drew. to a close, [music]. that the divisions Abdi saw on the. streets played out on an even bigger. scale.

In a surprise move, Iran struck three. ships in the Strait of Hormuz. >> A US official telling me that this was a. gross violation of the memorandum of. understanding by Iran. Now, the. >> And that delicate peace agreement with. [music] the United States. began to crumble. >> [music]. >> After the break, my colleague, Farnaz Fassihi, on the war playing [music] out inside of. Iran's government.

We'll be right back. >> [music]. >> Farnaz, Abdi just described this. profound divide that was on display. during the Ayatollah's funeral between. hardline religious supporters of the. regime and the government officials who. negotiated a peace deal with the US.

And when Iran attacked US ships, the. first question, I think quite logically, was. who was responsible for that decision? And had these hardliners persuaded. the government to restart this war? >> Well, that's a really good question. I. think we haven't reached a definitive. answer on exactly who made the decision. or how what has been seen as a. provocative act to attack these ships. really came about. Right after this, the.

United States said in briefings to our. colleagues that the Iranian mediators. that they'd been in touch with told the. United States that it wasn't us, that. these were like rogue hardline elements. within the Revolutionary Guards that had. decided to attack the ships. I think. this was one of the very few and only. attacks that they didn't officially. claim and issue a statement saying, "We. did this.". >> Huh. >> When I reached out to sources, I heard. the same thing from a source that the.

attack on the ship came as a surprise to. the president, to the foreign minister, and it was sort of seen as hardliners. who have been advocating to drag Iran. back to the war and derail the talks, you know, taking this kind of an action. >> I mean, I just want to I just want to. say that that's quite an extraordinary. prospect that hardliners were so intent. on ending this peace process and. undermining the memorandum of.

understanding that had been reached by. the official Iranian government that. they would launch an attack against the. United States to do that. >> Exactly. It's extraordinary because if. this is true, if the hardliners would on. their own, without central command, decide to take such a consequential step. with massive consequences for Iran, for. the 90 million people there, for the. region, what does that say about sort of.

the disarray within the Iranian rank and. file? Like, who made that decision? >> Mhm. >> This speaks to the massive divide in the. system. at this very pivotal, critical time in. the country's political history, it. seems like Iran's government and. leadership is at war with itself. >> Well, Farnaz, that's really what we want. to talk to you about as such an expert. on the internal workings of Iran, this emerging war inside Iran over the.

war itself and who is winning at the. moment and what it means for the future. of the conflict. So, help us understand. the various factions that are currently. at war with each other. >> Well, I'll start by saying that. political differences and infighting. within Iran's political circles is not. new. They've always sort of existed in. Iran's modern politics of the Islamic. Republic's rule.

But what's really new here is that it's. happening within the conservative camp, right? You've traditionally had the. conservatives that sort of believe in a. more ideological view of governing and. the reformers who wanted to keep the. Islamic Republic rule but reform and. change. But that's not what's happening. now. Within the conservative group that. runs the country right now, that holds. power, which includes the powerful. Revolutionary Guards generals, there's.

major differences and fractures. >> Okay, well, help us understand the. divisions within this conservative world. of Iran's leadership. >> So, on one side, you have the ultra. hardliners. led by. a politician named Saeed Jalili. They have. a world view that says Iran must never. engage with the United States, Israel. must be destroyed, that this ideological.

Islamist extremist view that was sort of. the beginning of this revolution is is. very much how they plan to rule, right? Don't talk to the United States, continue fighting. >> Mhm. >> And this faction is a minority but still. has constituents. They're the people. that come out every time the government. wants to rally supporters onto the. streets. And at the funeral of the late. senior Ayatollah Khomeini, these are the.

people who were bust from all over the. country, came out in millions, were, you. know, waving red flags of revenge. So, this is the core constituent of the. system. And thus, they can't really be. ignored and set aside, right? Because. they they're always there no matter. what. They're they always show up for. the regime, right? >> Mhm. So, this is the religious base and. foundation for this theocracy. >> Right, exactly. They're the foundation. for the theocracy. I If if I were to say.

what their numbers are in Iran's 90. million, I would say somewhere between. 10 to 20% judging from the numbers at. the polls where they always show up and. the candidates that they pick. So, they. are a minority, but they're a very vocal. and loyal minority. >> And who's on the other side of this. divide? >> So, on the other side of the divide is. really the the senior leadership of the. government and many powerful generals of. the Revolutionary Guards. This coalition. represents the pragmatics within the. system. General Mohammad Bagher.

Ghalibaf, the speaker of parliament and. the person leading negotiations with the. United States, has done repeated. interviews on state television and has. said in statements that, "Look, we have. to take whatever leverage we've gained. in the war and turn it into diplomacy. That diplomacy is not a sign of defeat. or surrender, but we can actually make. some gains by negotiating with the. United States. We can't fight endlessly.

We have to open up Iran economically. We. have to get rid of the sanctions." So, this group is of the view that these. hardline policies of let's fight until. our last breath, let's drag the country. into chaos and instability is not really. the direction they want to take the. country. >> Right. So, these would seem to be the. peace seekers, the people who struck a. deal with the US because they want to. preserve what's left of their country. and rebuild it rather than fight. endlessly at the risk of having nothing.

left in Iran at the end of this. conflict. Does this group include Iran's. current supreme leader, the son of the. late Ayatollah who was killed by Israel. and the US? That would seem to be a key. question. >> It's a key question because both sides. are trying to claim Mojtaba Khamenei the. new supreme leader. He's been absent from view because he's. in hiding fearing assassination. >> Right, we've talked about this. >> And nobody has heard his voice because.

sources say that his face was burned in. the air strikes on their compound and. his vocal cords were damaged. >> Mhm. >> And I think this absence of Mojtaba. Khamenei has created a real void. And in. that void where the father used to have. a yes or no vote, he had authority to. have sort of a final say over matters, the son doesn't have that authority. He. doesn't have that religious clout. He. doesn't have that political clout. So. this has created a kind of space where.

these divisions can fester. >> You're saying without a supreme leader. who can shut down these kinds of. divisions or paper over them and call. the shots, then even though for example. the hardliners are a minority, they can. exert a fair amount of influence. They. can perhaps, I know we're not sure, even. maybe restart the war because there. isn't a strong enough person. to ensure that there's really unity in. the leadership. >> Right, exactly. There's no unity in the.

leadership. You know, I think that. Mojtaba has to the extent that he's. issued written statements, has said put. your differences aside. That these. divisions are being closely watched by. Iran's enemies and it suggests that. we're weak. But nobody's really. listening to him. I mean, that's the. remarkable thing. Like you have like the. hardliners supporters in rallies shout. the only way we will believe that. Mojtaba supports this deal or supports. the policies if we hear from him. directly or we see him.

And lawmakers that are aligned with the. hardliners have even publicly accused. the government of staging a coup to. bypass the supreme leader. >> So, the hardliners, if I'm hearing this. correctly, are suggesting that the. pragmatists making peace with the US. may be doing that without the. authorization of the supreme leader. They're questioning the legitimacy of. the peace process. >> Exactly. And in its own defense, the.

pragmatists have all come out and said, "Look, everything we're doing is with. Mojtaba's approval. We would not make. any uh critical decisions, including. negotiations or concessions to the. United States, without the supreme. leader's involvement. And we have his. backing." So, this is, you know, both. sides trying to claim support of Mojtaba. and Mojtaba being on their team without. him really coming out clearly and saying. which side he's clearly endorsing.

>> So far, Farnaz, you're really describing. a conflict within Iran's government. This small group of hardliners who are. undoing the work of a much larger group. of pragmatists. based on. previous conversations you and I have. had on this show, I feel safe in. assuming that the majority of Iranians, you've often put it at 70 to 80% of the. country's population, that just want peace and just want to go.

about their lives and are not so. attached to anyone vision of an ideology. in Iran, that they. don't like the fact that this peace is. being disrupted by the hardliners. So, what are they saying and do they have. any influence over any of this? >> I think that there is a very large. silent majority of Iranians. who don't want the war, but also don't. necessarily uh like the Islamic Republic. regime or support it. They feel like their lives and.

livelihoods are being upended by these. uh radical decisions that the hardliners. are making with very direct consequences. on their lives, on their safety, on. their future, and they are very angry at. the hardliners, and they are saying that. we didn't want the war, we we don't want. our infrastructure to be ruined, we. don't you know the economy is at a near. collapse, there's 400% inflation on. basic groceries. So, Iranians are under.

tremendous amounts of pressure and. uncertainty, and we hear this all the. time that the majority of Iranians feel. like they are caught in the crossfires. of the United States, Israel, and the. regime, and they're being squeezed, and. nobody's really thinking about their. well-being and what they really want. >> Mhm. >> There was this online petition that was. going on that really captured this sense. where Iranians were digitally signing on.

to this petition saying let's send all. the hardliners, the lawmakers, and the. politicians who are calling for constant. war to the south of Iran where they. would be under nightly bombardments and. they would see the consequences of what. they're advocating for because they're. sitting in the safety of their bunkers. and they're advocating for war against. the country, its infrastructure, and its. people. >> Well, Farnaz, let's say that the supreme. leader.

were to decide in the coming days or. weeks that he's fed up with this. infighting, that he recognizes that a. minority within a minority, the. hardliners within the conservative. leadership, are dragging the country. back into war, and he's tired of it. And. he were to make a public appearance, use his own voice, let's say that's. suddenly possible, which could in theory. satisfy these hardliners who, you know, really want to hear from him directly, and he says, "Stop it, enter the peace. process, honor the peace process, let's. rebuild Iran, let's end this phase of.

this conflict." could he do that? Would. that message carry enough weight to. silence these hardliners? >> It's a very good question, but it's one. that remains unclear. Partly because. Mojtaba Khamenei was a man in the. shadows. Not a whole lot is known about. him or his style of leadership. >> Right. >> So, it's really hard to gauge exactly. how he will rule when he surfaces and. how much clout he will have. It's also a.

very risky prospect for him, Michael, because to do that, he would essentially. have to declare that he fully trusts the. United States and President Trump and. that despite the many times that the US. has, in Iran's view, negated its. obligations both under the first nuclear. deal, exiting from that, and then. attacking Iran in the midst of. negotiations several times, that he's. sort of saying that I put my full trust.

in this deal with the United States. That's a very difficult thing, I think, for Iran's supreme leader to do. So, I. think more realistically, even when he. emerges, he's going to try to navigate. everybody and try to appeal to all sides. just to. allow himself a little bit of leverage. everywhere and enough distance to claim. it if it works and disown it if it falls. apart. >> So, the reason the supreme leader is. unlikely to ever take sides as firmly as.

I just outlined is because it would risk. his legitimacy with the hardliners in a. way that he cannot tolerate. >> Right, exactly. I mean, you have to. remember that the Islamic Republic. was created on this idea of fighting. America, fighting Israel, of. anti-Western ideals. And for. the supreme leader to completely do away. with that and for the hardliners to set. aside that animosity and that hostility,

it would basically be the end of the. Islamic Republic as we've known it. And. if that's gone, then what is left of the. Islamic Republic? It's going to be a new. Iran, a new system. And I think that's. why they're fighting so hard because. they know if the pragmatists win, if. really a peace deal, lasting peace deal. with the United States works, that. they're going to basically be even more. marginalized.

>> And what's now become very clear is that. when the United States and Israel. started this war, they thought that. taking out the Ayatollah. would mean. taking out this revolutionary fervor and. toppling it. And instead, it's still. very much alive and still too potent a. force. for even the Ayatollah's son and. successor. to confront.

>> That's exactly right. I mean, you've. heard President Trump [music] say. repeatedly that the war has brought. regime change in Iran. But there's been. no regime change, and in fact, what. we're seeing is that the country has. become more militarized, that the. hardliners are becoming more entrenched, and that Iran's now being led by a. supreme leader that doesn't have the. kind [music] of absolute power and clout. to guide things one way or the [music]. other.

>> [music]. >> Well, Farnaz, thank you very much. Appreciate it. >> Thank you for having me, Michael. >> [music]. >> In an interview with NBC News, the US. Ambassador [music] to the United. Nations, Mike Waltz, acknowledged that. divisions inside Iran's government have. made it increasingly difficult for the. Trump administration. >> [music]. >> to negotiate a peace deal.

>> What we are constantly seeing is on the. Iranian regime side, [music] they are. divided, there is internal fighting, some are seeking the guidance of the. supreme leader, others want to move in a. different direction, and that makes it. hugely challenging [music] from a. diplomatic standpoint, but to get to. some reasonable resolution here. I would. [music] take the president very. seriously if I was the Iranian regime. The US military is. >> We'll be right back.

Here's what else you need. >> [music]. >> to know today. In Spain and France, officials are. warning that extreme heat in the coming. days could intensify what they're. already calling the worst wildfire. [music] season in modern history. In southwestern France, the wildfires. have burned through nearly 300,000. acres [music]. and displaced at least 200,000 people,

one of the largest peacetime evacuations. in France's history. >> [music]. >> Meanwhile, in Spain. The country's prime minister said that. the fires there. >> [music]. >> have burned through hundreds of. thousands of acres, and he said that the. climate emergency that scientists. [music]. have been warning about for years had. arrived. The new heatwave is expected. [music] to hit both Spain and France.

starting on Wednesday. Today's episode [music] was produced by. Jack D'Isidoro, Rochelle Bojo, and. Shannon Lin. It was edited [music] by Devon Taylor. and Rob Zipko. And contains music by Marion Lozano and. Sophia [music] Landman. Our theme music. is by Wonderly. This episode was engineered by Chris. Wood. Special thanks to Michael Adams, Mikhail. Golustov,

>> [music]. >> and Perrin Beirut. That's it for The Daily. I'm Michael Barbaro. See you tomorrow.