You don’t understand how unpopular Hegseth actually is

You want to know how unpopular. Pete Hegseth is? He's somehow even less popular. than Donald Trump is. And of course, Trump. was the least popular. president of all time. heading into a midterm election. I mean, my goodness gracious, look at this. Hegseth. at -29 points on his net. approval rating. deep under the Strait of Hormuz. That's actually worse. than Trump was at -24 points. That's a five point. difference of Hegseth. being less popular than Trump. And of course, the real question. is, as we look at how unpopular. that this is,

he going to be able to survive, is he going to be able to keep his job? Will he be impeached. by the US House of Representatives? Or will this gentleman right here. fire him? And of course, when you look. at the record books. and you look at the polling. of the other folks that Trump is fired, there's good reason. to believe. that he might not be. sticking around for too long. Why do I say that? Take a look at this. Net approval rating a Pete Hegseth. right now at -29 points. Look at this. Pam Bondi. Pam Bondi was actually more popular. at -20 points before she was fired.

And how about Kristi Noem. She was at -16 points again. Neither Bondi nor Noem terribly popular, but they look downright popular. compared to. where Pete Hegseth is right now. And of course, those two, they were fired. Well, now when we look at Pete headset, I think it's also important to note. where he stands, historically speaking, where he stands historically speaking. And you can see this right here. Look at this. Look at the net approval. ratings of defense. secretaries pre midterm polling. Why is this so notable to me.

Well look at Pete Hegseth. He's at -29 points. Look like Donald Rumsfeld. was before the 2006. 2006 midterm elections. He was down there at -25 points. Again, not very popular at all. Not popular. But somehow that -25 points. is actually slightly higher than the -29. points of Pete Hegseth. And I will, of course, note. that Donald Trump, Donald Rumsfeld. was basically pushed out, pushed out. after the 2006.

midterm elections, when, of course, Republicans lost not just the House, but the Senate as well. It kind of feels like, to quote. Yogi Berra, deja vu all over again. Now, when we see the heat headset, then we see that, of course, he is less popular. than Donald Rumsfeld is. And of course, he is less popular. than the two. other cabinet members. who were fired previously. I think it's also important to note. that he's. actually the least popular member, at least. according to the polling. of Trump's cabinet. Right now, this is net favorability rating, slightly different than net approval.

But really gets at the same idea. Look at this Pete headset. That -26 points on net favorability. Look at this. He's less popular than JD Vance. who is at -20. How about RFK Jr again. not popular, but -19. Marco Rubio at -15. The most popular of the group, again. -15 is not so popular, but. it's a whole heck of a lot more popular. than -26. That Pete headset is right now. Now, of course, a lot of this has to do. with the Iran war, right? We mentioned, of course,

the Donald Rumsfeld comparison. right here. And indeed, it's important to note. that the man who is the defense secretary. during a time of war. has helped. lead a war. that is really, really. historically unpopular. Look at this. Look at this. Okay. Net support for the war. right before the midterm elections. Look at this. Iran. Way down there at -29 points. At -29 points. The net support for it. Look at this. Iraq was not popular. going into the 2006 midterm elections, but it was basically breaking.

even at minus three points. Again, this is a war that is. look at this. 26 points less popular than the Iraq War, which of course. led to those Democratic majorities. in the same way. In my mind, this is the wrong war. has helped lead to Democratic majorities. and the House and the Senate. And more than that. The Iran war, again, that's basically being overseen. by Pete Hegseth. It's only become less popular. Look at this. Look at this. Since the beginning of the war, the net approval rating for U.S. military action.

in Iran at the start of the war. was -16 points. Look at where we are now. -29 points. Nearly twice as unpopular. So the execution of the war. in the minds of the American public, you know what they want to do. They basically want to change. the channel from this. They want. no part of this. Iran war as it currently stands. They want to get out of Iran. Now, when you see this, you go, okay, the midterm elections. I've mentioned those Democratic. majorities, House and Senate. that the Iran war led to.

Now why do I say that? Well, why don't we go into a key. Senate race? We'll go into Texas. We will go into Texas. 73%, 73% of voters. said that the Iran war. was a major factor in their vote. And look at this. James Talarico. won those voters. won those voters in Texas by 28 points. That helped supercharge his campaign. It helped supercharge. his campaign and allowed James Talarico. to become the first Democratic senator. elected from the great state of Texas. since 1988.

And I mean, all this stuff, I mean. Sometimes you just. need a little beverage, make all of this stuff. that went on in Texas. is emblematic, emblematic of what we saw nationwide. Why do I say that? Well, take a look here. Take a look at the national House. ballot, the Democratic lead. You know, Dems were leading. before the Iraq war started, but their lead was not anywhere close. to where this result. will ultimately end up. Look, back in January, they led by five. They led by five, right? You can put it all on one hand by May.

Look at this. It was ten. And then another one. It was 11 points. by the end of the campaign. It was that same ten plus another one. according to the polling. for the national House. ballot lead for Democrats. Now, I will note. this number is probably actually. an underestimation. It's probably going to end up. closer to 14 points. 14 points when all the votes are counted, all the votes are counted, which is by far. the biggest Democratic win. You have to go all the way back. Since the days of Watergate.

and the bicentennial in the mid 1970s, this is a 1 in 50 year event. and all supercharged by the Iran war. Now why? Why did Democrats. have that supercharged effect? Because of the Iraq War. One big reason. Rural voters, rural voters, traditionally Republican rural voters. But look at this. Rural voters and U.S. House polling, you know, in October of 2024. Look at this. was plus 32 for the Republicans. in October of 2024,

just before the last. presidential election, by January of 2026. was basically the same, basically the same. No real ebb, no real ebbing. of that Republican advantage. They held on to note. that Republicans really held. onto those rural voters. But look at this. Then it collapsed. That advantage collapsed. after the Iraq War started. And just before this election, look at this. Republican advantage was just down. 14 points. This has to do. of course, with tariffs overall maybe. But really. the price of gas diesel as well.

Just absolutely supercharging Democrats. and traditionally hostile territory. They were really able to eat in. eat into that Republican advantage. Now of course, the big thing that went on here with gas. is inflation. Inflation up up and away. This was seen throughout the country. And you can see this right here. Look at this. Trump's net approval rating on inflation. You know in January it was horrible. It was horrible. according to the Marquette. University Law School poll.

Look at this is -39 points. But look at this by April. after the war started. -52 points by September. Look at this. According to the Marquette. University Law School poll. I love the trend line. That's why we're using this poll. I love trend line. so we can really see what. we're focusing in on one. plus or -61 points. -61 points. Are you kidding me? Are you absolutely kidding me? I was going myself. I've never seen anything like this. and seen anything like these two numbers. And indeed, we've never seen anything. like these two numbers. Because.

Look at this. Hello. Okay. President's net approval. rating on inflation. You know that -61 points. would have been the worst. net approval rating for any president. of all time on inflation. But you know what. So with this -52 points. because look at this. The worst net approval ratings. on inflation of all time. The 25 worst. The 25 worst were all Donald Trump. All of them. All of them belong to Donald Trump. And all of them occurred. after the Iran war started.

This supercharged Democrats. to where you can't possibly believe in. De Trump is the first person ever to -60, let alone -50, let alone -50, let alone -60. I mean, my goodness gracious, the worst. approval ratings on inflation ever. The reason he got reelected. to a second term back in 2024. And he basically took the. he took the show. and he said he kicked it. He kicked inflation. He kicked inflation. right over to the Democratic Party.

Why do I say that? Because look at this. Look at this party trust on inflation. The Democrats had a 15 point lead. before this election. according to Fox News. a 15 point lead in inflation. You know what. that was. the largest lead. that Democrats. have ever had on this issue. It appears to be the largest. lead in 50 years. In 50 years, you again, you had to go all the way back. to the times of the Bicentennial. and Watergate. to find. leads like Democrats had on inflation. It's unbelievable. Trump took an issue, took an issue.

that was so great for Republicans. And again, he basically he kicked it. He kicked it. right over to the Democratic Party. Unbelievable. Now, of course, the. Iran war, not just about inflation, right. It's also about war. It's about conflicts. It's about terrorism. And this has been such a tradition. traditionally Republican advantage. And again, Democrats ended up. leading on this in the lead. up to the midterm elections. Look at this January 2020.

Oh, look at that. Republicans had an 18 point advantage, an 18 point advantage. And you know what? They cooked right over the Democrats. Democrats. actually led on this traditional issue. for all this is what is this? This is a 23 point switcheroo. My goodness gracious, my goodness gracious. And you know what? When you take it all out. and you go, okay, we got to break out the calculator. and we start to calculating. what's going on here. What's going on here. You know what this. all potentially equals. This potentially equals major troubles.

for Pete Hegseth. when it comes to this. new Democratic Congress. that's coming in in January. And it may of course, happen before then. It may happen for them. because just take a look here, okay? According to Kowski, CNN's prediction market partner, look at this. The chance that Pete Hegseth is impeached. before July 2027, 75% chance, a 75% chance. that Pete Hegseth is actually impeached. Of course. I guess my question kind of is, well, he actually even make it to the chance. of being impeached.

Or is Trump just going to fire him? Because you know what Trump likes to do. when he doesn't like what's going on? He likes to change the channel. Of course. Up. You always stay right here with me.