Where do the remaining midterm races stand? Harry Enten breaks it down

Mississippi Senator Cindy. Hyde-Smith spotted tonight. for the first time since Election Day. So that's a big deal. Haven't seen her in almost a full week. She is a sitting senator. The Republican senator. is trailing Democrat Scott Collum. She repeatedly refused. to answer questions from reporters. saying only quote, we're still counting votes. Now, this comes as House. Democrats are on the verge. of expanding this historic victory. over Republicans. They've got a net gain of 42 seats, which. brings their total in the House. to 256 seats.

As of this moment, there are 14 races to be called. that could significantly. affect the balance of power from here, and that includes a handful of races. in deep red districts, which are. we just obviously at this point, they're still counting right. on the cusp of potentially turning blue. Harry Enten is OutFront. to tell us a lot of things, including things we don't know. So can we just talk about. these are three. outstanding races in particular. that are too close to call. that could flip that. you think matter most. Yeah. Okay. So you know, right now what do we got? Democrats projected 256 Republicans 165.

But let's go to the uncle races. There are three races. where Democrats currently lead, but they are uncalled at. This hour. And these are Nutter Butter in terms. of how Republican. they have traditionally been. Aaron. So we'll first go to Tennessee. We're going to go to Tennessee. Remember, Tennessee had redistricting. They were trying to get out. all the Democrats. But Democrats. had a little bit of a surprise them. Look at this race. where the Democratic candidate, Victoria Broderick, is ahead. by just 280 votes.

This is a district, Erin, that voted for Donald Trump. by over 20 points. There was no way. anyone thought that district. this to. this district would be competitive. But the Democrat. is currently ahead there, even if by a small margin. We'll go over to North Carolina. Okay, another state. where we saw redistricting, right. This is a district. that went Republican, went for Donald Trump. by nearly 20 points back in 2024. But look at this Chuck cupboard. Look at look at the margin here. It's just 90. I mean I don't think we've ever seen. this many races this close.

This close. Right. This is what happens. The wave all of a sudden these races. that you wouldn't. think would be competitive. But Virginia Fox, the longtime incumbent, very much in trouble. And then finally, we're. going to zoom all the way out. and we're going to Minnesota. We're going to go. to Minnesota, Minnesota. Nice. That was very Minnesota. nice for the Democrats this time around. Tim Walz's old district. Jake Johnson, look at this up 321 votes at this hour. Another one I mean okay. So these are all just incredibly tight.

Incredibly tight. Okay. Now that brings me to Mississippi. You know, we hope to be able to call. that at any moment, right? And they. they didn't. do a lot of counting over the weekend. So they came in to do some counting. Obviously this would be incredible. history made. You would have a black Democrat. in Mississippi if the Democrat wins. What do you see here? Yeah. What do we see here? Well, I think the key nugget here is. it's just at this point. Look at this. The blue line, which is Scott column, the red line, which is Cindy Hyde-Smith. What you just basically see.

is this very steady race. where Scott column basically. got a little bit more ahead on Friday, but there simply have not been. that many votes. that have in fact been counted. We're waiting on those affidavit ballots. We'll see. Ultimately, if those go Democratic. traditionally they have. But of course, this year has been. the year of the unexpected. So have to wait and see. All right. So and every vote must be counted. Now tell me something else I don't know. I'll tell you something else. you don't know. You know, Scott Clem. obviously trying to make history. as the first black senator. since reconstruction.

in the great state of Mississippi. But one of the reasons. that he is doing so well. in Mississippi is because of how. well he did with white voters. Look at this Mississippi white votes. Look at the share of the vote. he's getting. He's getting about a quarter. significantly more than Kamala Harris, a 16%, or Barack Obama 13% back in 2012. Yeah, that is really, really interesting, right? Actually that's double. It's double. He is doubling up on Obama's. share of the white vote. And of course Mississippi majority white. You got to. a good share of them in Columbus. All right. Harry Enten, thank you very much. And I want to go out front now.

to Chuck Taylor, the chair of the Mississippi. Democratic Party and Mississippi. State Representative. Representative Taylor, so I appreciate your time. You hear Harry. going through some of this. So Scott. Colome is on the cusp of history, but it is the cost. We are waiting for the final count. Obviously the race is still. too close to call. They didn't count over the weekend. They say they're counting again. Now. When do you expect a projection? Well, we're hoping any day now. Probably even by tomorrow. One thing we know for sure is that,

Scott alone was down the work. That this has been. an extremely well-funded, well organized campaign, that has us right here. on the precipice of winning, this very valuable election. And to be honest, I know for a fact. that there are very few places. that Cindy Hyde-Smith can go. make up this difference. And, we're confident. that Scott Clem won't be named. the victor, within 24, maybe 48 hours. All right, so you think between 24 and 48 hours. And I know, you know, Mr.

Coloma told me. he thought he felt he was 100%. sure that that's how it was going. when it got there. So, you know, President Trump today is stoking. claims about election fraud. And check he waited. He waited a week to do so. At first he said he worked with Democrats, but now he's out, in a more, more traditional. way for him saying, does anybody really believe that this. And he puts the word. election in quotes was honest. Now, he didn't. get into Mississippi specifically, but Mississippi does. not have a set procedure in place. to trigger a recount.

A represented. in fact, it's the only state in the United States. in which that's the case. So do you worry. that if Calhoun wins, that Republicans. are going to fight the election result? Or would you actually support. some sort of, you know, complete recount? Well, you know, it's. interesting that you say that, we know, that the RNC, the chair of the RNC has basically said. that, listen, we're not going to test this race, that we believe. that this is the fair race being run,

and we're not going to do anything. to say anything different. The same has been said. about other folks in the state. But for Donald Trump to be, positioning, himself, talking about that, there's some sites of election fraud. Let's just let's just state the facts. We're in the trifecta here in Mississippi. with a, a governor, lieutenant governor, speaker of the House, all being Republicans that the, the Senate, just got their supermajority broken. But we still have. a supermajority in the House. But more importantly, Michael Watson,

a staunch Republican, is the election, is the secretary of state. and therefore oversees. all these elections. So there is not a Democrat in sight, that has the ability. to negatively, control. the outcome of this election. The honest, is on some of these, tricks and boondoggles. that Republicans have put in place. to actually, suppress the vote. But it's not us doing well. And I think it's important. to lay that out. And I don't like to live in a world. where we have to say, well, you know, it's important.

that Republicans are in charge. because that means the Democrats can't. do the things Trump says. But we are in a world. where those things need to be said. And, and it's important that you. that you lay it all out like that. Representative. So, Cindy Hyde-Smith, we haven't seen her in a week. And I know obviously, we have seen Scott clone. quite a few times. I spoke to him on Friday. But Cindy Smith, we hadn't seen her yet. She was spotted on Capitol Hill tonight. She didn't answer. questions from reporters. She simply said. we're still counting votes. Why do you think we haven't seen her. publicly since Election Day?

We're not very surprised. Here in the state of Mississippi, this is actually more of the same. from Cindy Hyde-Smith. Some of us called her Cindy. Running Hyde-Smith. because, she seems to have a way of not engaging, with her, constituents, whether Republican or Democrat. So we have not seen her at a town hall. or even dealing with our own constituents. in the past six years. So her not being up front and center. right now, is not a surprise.

And also, too, you have to remember that. when Donald Trump came to Mississippi. and afforded her the microphone, she took about 10s. just to praise his work. and none of her own. Yeah, it was very. that was very, short and was. it was an odd moment. Representative Taylor, I appreciate your time. and thanks so much. It's good to talk to you. More than 100 newly elected lawmakers. have arrived on Capitol Hill. to begin orientation, making it the largest. incoming House freshman class since 1933. And tonight we are sitting down.

with one of them, Democrat Joanna Mendoza, who flipped a critical border. seat in Arizona. And she's a 20 year military veteran, the daughter of farmworkers. and now the first female marine ever. elected to Congress. With me, now congresswoman. elect from Arizona's. sixth House district, Joanna Mendoza. Thank you so much for being here. Congratulations on your victory. Thank you so much, Laura. It still doesn't seem real, I'm sure. I mean, it's been not even a full week.

And here you are, Congresswoman. elect making history. And you flipped. one of the most competitive districts. in the entire country. Yeah. Why do you think it resonated? Well, look, I mean, I think my experience. growing up in a working family. who often struggled, I mean, my parents worked really hard. as farm workers. They still couldn't make ends meet. So we often use the programs. that families. still use today, the same programs. that are under this administration. And MAGA. Republicans voted to cut Snap Medicaid.

I mean, those are a hand up. for a lot of families, especially families like mine. And so there's just a lot of suffering. You know, we've we've toured. every corner of the district. talking to to folks. And what we keep hearing is. they just want to be able to afford rent, to be able to provide food. for their families. and have a little nest egg. for, you know, retirement. or even just a vacation with the family. And that's not possible right now.

Even the prospect of retirement is, oh my gosh, it's scary. It seems very scary. I mean, it it's. almost unattainable. to most people in our country, surprisingly. And yet everyone's worrying about H.R. one. I'm always wondering. what is going to be in your mind, the number one priority, because we know. affordability as a concept, we know the necessity of it. And we've heard that. the voters want it soundly. What is the most important priority. you're going to go forward with? We need to give. the American people relief. I mean, it's costs.

We need to bring those costs down. And I think we can start. with reinstating programs. like Snap and making sure that Medicaid, you know, isn't isn't fully cut. Folks are then experienced. that here towards the end of the year, in the time where, you know, you get sick, the flu season. And in Arizona, I mean, in our state, in this district, there are a lot of families on access. So I think we can start there. I mean, reinstate the ACA, subsidies. You know, there's a lot of folks. who their premiums went up.

and they just for went, a health care plan. because they just couldn't afford it. Hakeem Jeffries, people believe he has the votes, the experience. to become the historic. speaker of the House. And yet there are many who are wondering. whether everyone's on board with that. Do you believe that Hakeem Jeffries. is the right person to lead? Well, look, in this time, in this crisis. in our nation right now,

I think it's admirable. that he is stepping up to do this. I mean, I don't see anybody else. talking about wanting to become, you know, the next speaker. and after following, you know, Speaker Pelosi, I mean, anyone who feels. that position. is going to have big shoes to fill. But if anyone can do it, it's him. I mean, and he's already stepping up. I mean, look at the historic winds. that we've seen across the nation. this election cycle. I mean, districts that we didn't think. we'd be able to flip. And we did. And so, you know, I was talking to a couple. of the new member blacks.

and they say, you know, well, you know, we think that that, you know, everyone deserves a chance. to succeed or fail. And so a lot of folks are calling for him. to, you know, give it a shot and see what happens, including you. The support. I would I would say yes. Yes. And, you know, I get asked about this all the time. And usually what I say is because it's. true is like I'm. just focused on trying to get, you know, my head straight and get my, my bearings about myself. But I think. right now our country needs good, solid. leadership. And, you know,

if he's up to the task, well, then who am I to say no? Secretary. He faces an impeachment vote this week. As you know, if it fails in the Senate. and lands back in the House next year, would you vote to impeach him 100%? I mean, he has blood on his hands. You know, when people are talking about the war. in Iran. in terms of gas prices. in my district, we have a lot of military. families, veterans, about 80,000. veterans, flowers on the home. And, you know, during this election.

cycle, and especially. when the war in Iran. first started, we're hearing a lot from parents. who are just terrified that, you know, their kids. who are serving right now. would get sent to Iran. And in some cases, I talked to parents. where their kids were pending. Orders are already there. And, you know, they just in tears, terrified that. their kids are going to come back. and flag draped coffins, not to mention the military families. that were turned away, turned away by rain. I mean, we're talking about the special trust. and confidence of men. and women who have volunteered.

to give their life. and service for this country. I mean, I did that for 20 years. I led Marines in Iraq and Afghanistan. And, you know, with that. leadership comes responsibility. And the responsibility is. that you have to make decisions. that may potentially. put people in danger, but you have to be responsible. and not reckless. And what we seen from him. is that he's just, you know, carrying out an agenda. that this president wants, instead of really actively. actually looking at the people. that are serving our country. and taking care of them.

the way that he should be as a leader. Congressman elect Joe Adam Mendoza, thank you for coming. Appreciate it. Lord, thank you so much.