'Blue-nami': Enten unpacks Dem election flips, eyes MS & AK results

Show me the House races right now. How many  races the Democrats currently lead in? Blun. Nami. Blue Nami. Look at this. 263. 263. They  entered the evening what, Johnny? Be at about. 2:15 back in the 2024 election. That is a gain.  That is a gain potentially of nearly 50 seats. in the US House of Representatives. It would  represent one of the largest gains or I believe. the largest gain since basically 1974. That of  course was the Watergate midterms. Richard Nixon.

being forced to resign that August. Again, these  are where they're leading right now. Not called, but it gives you a sense of how much more growth  there is in the House. You were going to put. something else up. I I was just going to note that  the the flips the flips from 2024. Look at this. It's blue across the map. This isn't just one  region. This is not just deep. It is incredibly. wide as well. And these only two districts you're  looking at here. These are two districts that the. Republicans gerrymandered redistricting. That's  all they got out of it. That's all they got. And.

those races are extremely extremely close. Such  a big shift there in the Senate and in the House. CNN projects that Democrats will win at least 231  seats. But don't be deceived by that number. That. is a huge lowball. They are leading in dozens  more races and look to reach heights they haven't. reached in decades. Simply put, this has been  a blowout. Let's go to CNN's Harry at the Magic. Wall. Let's talk about these two Senate races that  are still too close to call. Starting with the one.

that's almost impossibly close in Mississippi. I  mean, we're talking about votes. Votes. 43 votes. currently separate the Democrat Scott Colom over  Cindy Hyde Smith, the Republican candidate. 48.9. 48.9 literally 0.01 percentage points of the vote  separate the two of them. Now, in terms of what. is still left to count in Mississippi, let's  take our tool here. We'll go to precincts that. are showing 90% or less of the vote in at this  point or estimated vote in. And you can see it's.

a pretty equal mix between red and blue. I do want  to focus your attention down here though, Jackson, Hines County. Look at this. Scott Colom running  up the score here. Only 90% of the vote in in. Hines County. This to me is a real opportunity.  And I will note I think the real question in. Mississippi is in fact provisional ballots. How  many are there? And then historically speaking, Democrats have done better in Mississippi among  those provisional ballots. That may in fact allow.

Scott Colom to potentially expand his lead. But  at this point, way way too close for anyone to. project anything. Yeah, there are still kind of  two batches we're looking at here. The votes that. may have yet to be counted in Hines County. And  we heard overnight from the Mississippi free press. that Hans County they stopped counting for a time.  We're waiting to see if they start counting again. for that remaining 10% and then the provisional  ballots. Alaska. Let's go to Alaska. Well, we. will go from the south to a state that's very much  not in the south. Uh right now Dan S. Sullivan,

the incumbent is at 48.5%. Mary Pole, of course,  the Democratic candidate at 47.7%. The name of. the game in Alaska is 50% plus one. You need a  majority of the vote to win in Alaska. They have. rank choice voting. If per se you voted for  the other Dan Sullivan, Daniel J. Sullivan, if in fact no candidate reaches 50% of the vote  plus one after all the votes are counted, those. lower down candidates get their votes reallocated  to their second or third choice. Now, what I will.

note in Alaska is that historically speaking,  the votes that come in later on are from the. outlying rural areas. And unlike in the lower 48,  those votes actually tend to lean Democratic. So. Mary Pollah very much still in the ball game here  despite the fact that Dan S. Sullivan is currently. ahead by a 1700 vote. So maybe good news for Pelah  that the remaining vote might come from the rural. areas which might lead Democratic. Maybe bad news  in the rank choice world in that the third and.

fourth place candidates, you could kind of squint  and see how votes from a Republican might go to. Mary Pelola and how votes from a someone named  Daniel Sullivan might go to someone else named. Daniel Sullivan. Exactly. Right. So, so you know,  good news, bad news thing. Harry, can we talk. about the House for a second here? Yeah, I want  to talk about the House and then quickly about the. GVs. I I just want to know, look at this. Look at  this. Democrats are currently leading in 263 House. seats. That would be a net gain on the evening  of nearly 50 House seats. That is basically what.

Democrats got in the Watergate election of  1974. They have not gotten this high up in. about 35 years in terms of the number of seats  if in fact that holds early 90s for that. And in. terms of the flips, Harry, can we look at which  house seats were flipped because this is a big. story in the We can absolutely look at the house  seats that are flipped and you can see it right. here. It is across the political map from the  northeast in New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, all the way out to California. Plenty of seats  in the south as well. And the only two districts.

that you see in red on your screen, those were in  states that were redistricted, Texas Republicans. redistricted, Tennessee Republicans redistricted.  And even down there in Texas, I mean, just look at. the margins here. They're so so small. that list  you were looking at right there. These states are. states where someone's uh where people are leading  right now. Not necessarily what's been called. But. again, in terms of gerrymandering, this might be  all Republicans get. Exactly. Right. And in none.

of the states in which they're redistricted, do  they actually have a net gain pickup overall in. those? Very quickly, governors, I just want to  point out governors here very, very quickly. And. the reason I want to point out governors is this.  It's very simple. Look at this. 30 Democratic. governors, 30 30 governorships in which Democrats  currently lead to just 20 Republicans. I will note. that that would be the largest such number for  Democrats since the early mid 1990s. It's been. a couple hours since we had any votes uh counted  in Alaska or Mississippi. Alaska, they might be.

sleeping. Mississippi, it could be any minute  where we start seeing more votes. We'll keep an. eye on it. Har, you've been looking at the voter  polls, what we used to call the exit polls, uh to. look at the trends of what happened here. Slight  change in methodology. I want to talk about Donald. John Trump. That is what I want to talk about.  And we're going to start off overall approval. rating. Negative 24 points on the net approval.  Approval minus disapproval. That is the worst. for any president in the exit poll era during a  midterm election. We spoke about this start of. the evening. Was this going to be the end of the  Donald Trump presidency becoming a lame duck? This.

was the number that supercharged the Democratic  tsunami across the political map. Now, what about. among Republicans? Donald Trump always wants to  argue, oh, I have those great strong numbers among. Republicans. Well, yeah, okay, 82% approved. But I  will note that is down significantly from where it. was in the 2018 midterm election where that number  was closer to 90%. So significantly less popular. with the Republican base than he was 8 years ago  during his first midterm. Now, it is true when.

you look at the data, you know, we can do MAGA,  non-MAGA. When you look at MAGA voters, what you. see is that Donald Trump still remains quite  popular in the great Republican party. Look at. that. 90 96% approval, 4% disapproval. But here is  the key nugget. Not every Republican is a member. of MAGER claims to be among non-MAGER Republicans.  You see that Donald Trump was significantly less. popular. What are we talking about? Look at  that. Just 60% approval. And this was what we.

saw in states like Kansas and Texas. Significant  defections going towards the Democrats among. non-MAGA Republicans. It turns out even within the  Republican party, Johnny B, you can't just appeal. to MAGA Republicans. And 96% of MAGA Republicans  not enough. It is not enough. You have to appeal. to non-MAGA Republicans. You have to appeal to  independents. And yeah, you should actually also. appeal to some Democrats as well. Did not work for  Donald Trump. political math, the electoral math,

just democratic wave, democratic tsunami. All  right. All right. Welcome back to CNN's special. live coverage of election night in America.  When we began, oh, you know, 14 hours ago, Harry, I think I was young. I was still young.  Young young at heart. We're focused on young. voters. What did we learn in the voter used to  be exit polls about young voters? Historic shift. going on. Historic shift. You know, Donald Trump  put up a historically strong performance among. voters under the age of 30 back in 2024, only  losing them by low double digits. Look at where.

we are right now. Hello, voters under the age of  30. That, my dear friends, is a 47 point margin. I do. That's not low double digits. That is not  low double digits. That's a 30 point shift towards. the Democratic party. I will note Barack Obama won  voters under the age of 30 back in 2008. Obviously. a different group of voters under the age of 30  by only 34 points. So again, this is better than. Obama was doing within that group. What about  young men? Young men. I mean, this is another.

story of this election. If you look at young men,  okay, Donald Trump won this group, I believe, by a point. Look at this shift. He won. He won  that group. He won young men tonight in the House. vote nationally. Look at that. We are talking  about Democrats winning that vote by 33 points. a. tremendous shift, an over 30 point shift. And then  finally, young Latino men in 2024, Donald Trump. easily carried this group. He won that group.  He won that group. Easily won that group. He won.

that group. And what we see right here is, look at  this. Oh my goodness gracious. That is a well over. 40 point win for the Democrats running for the  House. This is the story. Young voters, young men, young Latino men racing away from Donald Trump and  the Republican party. Just seismic shifts. That's. exactly right. In in the words of Nancy Reagan,  they just said no. They just said no. All right.