
All 50 states shifted Dem in the House: Enten & CNN unpack what's next
Democrats coming to grips with the size of this wave here. The question is just how big. is this and what can they do with it? With us now, CNN chief data analyst Harry. You know, the talk is how much of a mandate is this? Give us a sense numerically. Yeah. You know, remember back. in 2024, remember there was this idea, oh, Trump has a mandate and then some Democrats said no, you know, his popular vote win wasn't that big. This is a mandate folks. This is a mandate. This.
is a huge mandate. It is both wide and it is deep. Shift from 2024 pres to 2026 House. States that. shifted to the Democrats. All 50. All 50 shifted to the Democrats. And in your average state, look at that. Democrats up like a rocket. Up 14 points compared to the 2024 baseline. It is wide. and it is deep. This is a man who got some sleep for the first time in like four days right now. I.
I will say that. All right. In terms of how much the Democrats want the House lead overall if you. aggregate all the House votes. Yeah. Let's put it into a historical perspective because it is. wide. It is deep and you can go long. You can go long in the historical perspective. Look at. this. The current US House vote national lead for Democrats and the popular House vote right. now it is 12 points. It is 12 points. I bet it's going to go north of there. up up and. away. We are talking about what could be the largest Democrat or Republican lead or win.
in the US House of Representatives nationwide for the popular vote in 50 years since 1976. Bicesentennial time, baby. Yeah, this is a this is the generic ballot test here in a way and this is. just as big as we saw in any of the polling going in even bigger than that right now. Okay. So, people are thinking, well, what might this mean for the presidential election? Yeah. Okay. Another way to put this into some perspective, right, is look at the electoral map. Look at the.
electoral map and let's just say, okay, lead the house vote in states containing, look at this, Democrats, 399 electoral votes. The GOP leads in only states containing 139 electoral votes. When it comes to the House vote, we haven't seen numbers like this since the 1980s. This was huge. And Democrats absolutely have to be loving this. As of course, now we put the 2026 election in the. rearview mirror and we head into 2028. I mean, if there were any way for Democrats to harness this,
this would be a blowout for them in 2028. So, what are the prediction markets saying. about their chances at Yeah, they can harness it. It's like nuclear fusion, right? They're after that. They want it. And we look ahead to 2028 and look at this JB off. on the side just laughing. We're a little loony here after the long week. Chance that Democrats. win the presidency in 2028 according to the cash prediction markets. Look at that. It was. 60% on Monday. Now it's two and three. 66% chance. Look, it's two years away,
but Democrats really have to like what they saw on Tuesday. I've spent more time with you. the last four days than anyone else on earth, including all my family members combined. So, uh, thank you very much, Harriet. And now we come even closer together. We're very close. We have a. lot of news this morning. We'll be right back. Woo. All right, the Democrats have been swept. into power. Here's a look at the current Senate map. Democrats will have 54 seats. They could have. as many as 56. After all the campaign drama, now comes a different part, actually governing. So,
my favorite line in any political movie comes from The Candidate in 1972. Spoiler alert here. Robert. Redford plays a California Senate candidate who wins a shocking victory. And I want you. to listen to what he says right after he finds out he won. So, uh, what's on your mind, Senator? I don't know. Okay, we got to get out of there. See, I told you that Marvin,
what do we do now? Wait a minute. Wait a minute. What? the roof. What do we do now? Thank you for humoring me with that. With us now. with new reporting on what Democrats plan to do now, CNN's Isaac Do, thank you for smiling.
uh at my indulgence there. So, what do Democrats plan to do? I I can't. believe you spoiled a 50-year-old movie, John. I mean, it's crazy. He wins. Sorry. Um, look, it's a good problem for the Democrats to have. They're happy to have what is in front. of them now, which is figuring out what to do. The question uh comes down to two things. Number one, in a wave like this, everybody's theory of the case of what candidates need to do, what they need. to talk about, who they need to be proved to be right. You had winners across the country, across.
ideological stripes, talking about all sorts of issues. and each one of them can say, "Look, Democrats need to do what I was talking about if we want to win again." But those don't always go. together with each other. And in fact, in a lot of cases, they conflict with each other quite a bit. The other thing that they have to deal with is uh that Donald Trump is still the president for two. more years, and they may have the majority in the House and the Senate, but they have to work with. him for many of the things that they want to get done. And you can't legislate prices to be lower.
They can do things like try to block the tariffs or strip those away and other moves like that, but it can't be that you just pass a law and prices go down. And of course, that's why. many voters around the country decided to vote for Democrats. So, as they try to say to voters, look, this time will be different. Now, you trusted us, we can deliver something different than. Republicans and Democrats for the last 10, really 20, 30 years have been saying back and forth. Uh,
they need to figure out how they get through all of that over the the months ahead. What about the. idea of like rapid fire bills coming from the Senate or the US House here, even if ultimately. President Trump would veto them? Yeah. Like I was in Michigan the final few days of the election. and at the big party that happened on Tuesday night. I talked to uh many of the supporters of. Abdul als um and other Michigan Democrats. They obviously had a big night. But I also talked to. people like Pete Buddha Judge and Elizabeth Warren in Michigan. Uh, and all of this is.
up in the story that's on our site this morning. But what they are talking about is yes, getting. very clear about what their agenda is and then in some ways daring Donald Trump and Republicans to. not work with them on it. Of course, one of the reasons why Donald Trump and Republicans might. not work with them on it is because they don't agree with it. Uh, and that's less of an issue. now for Democrats in getting things uh through the House and the Senate. Uh but it is this. question still of what you can find consensus on to get a bill signed by the president because yes.
uh Congress is article one of the constitution but we all know how a bill becomes a law. It is uh it. it takes passing both houses and then a signature from the president usually. Thank you schoolhouse. rock and thank you Isaac do for sharing your reporting with us this morning. I appreciate. it. Democrats have won at least 245 seats in the house. They lead in 261. So, the number is going. to be much higher than 245. This will usher in a new era of House leadership, which will almost.
certainly include the first African-American House Speaker, that's Hakee Jeff, and the first ever. woman to be majority leader, Katherine Clark from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. With us now. is the current minority whip and the soon-to-be majority leader, Katherine Clark. Nice to see you, Congressman. Thank you so much for being with us. If I can jump right into the nuts and bolts, what. can you tell us about what will be HR1, which is to say the first bill in the new Congress? Well,
John, it is good to be here with you. And here's what I'm going to tell you. That we campaigned as. affordability Democrats. That was the message of every single candidate across this country. And that is exactly how we're going to govern. So we are in discussions now. We'll be uh convening. next week with uh our new members. But we know this that we are going to put the focus on a.
peoplebased agenda and our first bills and acts are going to be about lowering costs, making sure. health care is affordable for everyone. That is what we have promised the American people. It's. why they voted in this historical way. They the voters have really conducted a peaceful revolution. in this country and we are going to govern with their voices as as our guides. So even before that.
there are key votes in the current house including to fund the government. I think funding expires on. December 11th if I have that date right. Do you want That's right. How will you and how. will Democrats vote on funding for Iran? Will you vote for government funding that includes funding. for the war in Iran? You know, the war is going to be front and center in these discussions because.
what we have seen is a president who has taken us into a reckless war that had no exit strategy, had. no clear goals. and has had a terrible impact on the American people, whether it's the costs of gas. and diesel, skyrocketing prices even further. So, we are going to have very clear discussions about. that. We have voted repeatedly to end this war and how they continue to fund this without ever coming.
to Congress and having a discussion about what these goals and how we get out of this and make. sure the American people and our troops are safe. This is going to be one of the really tough things. that the Republicans are going to have to come to us and make a case for. um the incoming the person.
who will be the incoming House Oversight Committee Chair, Robert Garcia, even as the votes were being. counted on election night, I put out a tweet that said lawyer up. So my question to you is give me. three names of people you think who need lawyers this morning. Listen, here's what I can tell you. is that part of our promise to the American people is that we're going to lower their costs. We're. going to make health care affordable and available and we're going to hold the crooks accountable.
Unfortunately, there are a lot of potential subjects and we are having the discussions. now about what our strategy will be, how that will look, um who the priority people and um. entities will be. But I can tell you that it will be a continuation of making sure that taxpayers.
are not paying the cost for personal enrichment for the corruption that we are seeing from this. administration and that has been tolerated by the Republican party. It is part of what has. led to this landslide victory for Democrats is the American people understand they are not the. ones who are being enriched in this economy. You know the the metaphors I heard throughout.
uh my travels in the campaign is that my family is drowning in bills. We're barely able to keep. our head above water. And so our focus, whether it's lowering costs or or looking at corruption, is all going to be through the lens of the working family and making their lives easier. So you stand. to be the majority leader. The chair of the rules committee stands to be from Massachusetts. Jim. McGovern, the chair of House Ways and Means stands to be from Massachusetts, Richie Neil. That's a.
lot of power for one state. And I will also note you're gonna have a house speaker from New York. You're gonna have a whip probably from California. What do you say to people here that this is, you know, the coastal elites for the Democrats getting back in in in running Congress? How do. you defend against that type of a charge? Oh, you know, I think that we have seen leadership across. this country, uh, and certainly in our class, um, you know, that is emerging and I can tell you that.
the voices that we are going to bring forward are going to be not only our senior leadership, but those of our newest members. And we are seeing members coming in from across this country, coast. to coast, from the heartland, from the south. And that is going to be a real strength of this. caucus. And we're going to make sure that their voices are heard because that is representational. government from different parts of our country, different parts of the ideological spectrum.
We come together, we make a better product that puts the people of this country at the. center of it. So, current minority whip, soon to be majority leader Katherine Clark. Go get. those no business cards printed. We appreciate you being with us this morning. Thank you. Thank you, John. Great stuff, John. Thank you. Joining us right now, CNN political commentator Jamal. Simmons. Thanks for being here. Jamal, we just heard from Katherine Clark as John was. just talking to her. asked her what their first priority is and she said, "Our first bills and.
acts are going to be about lowering costs, making sure healthcare is affordable for everyone." What. do you think of what the House what House D's are laying out the leadership of of what will. happen day one? This all makes sense from a policy perspective. What I'm nervous about though is that. all the different factions of the Democratic party get busy trying to claim credit for what happened, get busy trying to sort of set what each policy or legislative act ought to be. But what we should do. now first is what I've been writing about in my kill the spider substack, which is we should be.
talking about how do we find our values first. How do we figure out what we agree on and then we can. fight about how we get there? We should be talking about sharing prosperity between everybody and the. American people. Um how do we responsibly use the tools of American power to make sure we're all. secure? How do we make sure that we're protecting the rights of every man, woman, and child in the. country? And then how do we keep the American dream alive? If we can just coalesce around those. big broad principles, state those first and then we can fight about where we get where we how we.
get there. What I'm nervous about as a message guy is the American people are worried that we. spend a lot of time fighting over which car we're going to be in before we tell them where we're.