A ‘historic shift’ blue in 2 years: Enten unpacks young voter polling

One of the biggest demographics to shift left in  the midterm blue wave was young voters. So, could. the Democrats keep this key voting block? How for  how long? CNN's Harry Anon is looking into this. one for us. Henrietta, how much of a change among  young voters did we see? It was a historic shift. My goodness gracious. You know, I'm focusing in  on the youngest parts of the electorate, those. under the age of 25. You know, back in 2024, look  at this. Democrats won it, but only by 14 points.

Look at this margin. Look at this margin. That is  wild. Yeah, it's huge. It's a huge shift. I mean, that is it's like this isn't over 20 years. This  is over two years. This is over just 2 years time. We're talking about a shift of 42 points to the  left. They shifted 42 points to the left. Oh my. god. What's the reason for it? What's the reason  for What about this guy? What about this guy, Donald John Trump? Look at this. In 2024, look  at this. His vote share 43%. He got 43% of those.

under the age of 25. Look at his approval. His  approval is 15. 15. That's one and a five. That is. essentially a 70 or right around a 70 point net  approval rating with those under the age of 25. We are talking about a 28 point decline in  terms of where he went from vote share to. approval rating in just 2 years time. This drove  a historic shift away from the Republicans to.

the Democrats. It is this gentleman on your  screen right here. They simply put despise. the president of the United States. Was it in one  part of the country or was it all over the place? This was all over the place. It was all over the  place. I mean, just look at this. Look at this. Look at the house vote. 54 in the east, 56 in the  Midwest, 56 in the South, 57 in the West. It was. uniform across the country. Those under the age of  25 said, "Not we had enough of President Trump and.

the Republicans." And it drove a historic shift.  It is one of the big reasons why Democrats did so. well during the election was younger voters who  were giving a lot of them were giving Republicans. a chance. But that chance, Republicans squandered  it and they said, "We're going back in the other. direction and we're supporting Democrats in  overwhelming numbers." Huge unknown is what. Democrats will do and will they be able to hold  on to this level of support. So stand by to stand.

by. What do the prediction markets say at least  looking ahead to 2028 where the energy is? Yeah, look look at where the energy is according to  the cash prediction market there. It's with. young voters. It's with young voters and young  politicians. That's really what we're talking. about here. Just take a look at this. John Oaf  has seen his chances go up like a rocket over. the course of the year according to the cash  prediction market and his chances to win the. 2028 Democratic nomination. The same with AOC. Her  chances have risen while Gavin Newsome's chances. have fallen considerably over the course of the  year. So look, we still got some time to go until.

2028, but it seems to me that there's a lot of  energy among young voters for the young parts. of the Democratic party, and we're going to see  if ultimately that ends up happening. But keep. your eyes on Osafo and AOC. We could be having a  historically young Democratic field. After last. week's midterms, the focus is already shifting  who might occupy the White House after 2028. Yeah, we like to shift very quickly into that. And  a new CNN poll on possible contenders found.

some Americans have already given it some  thought as well. Republican voters surveyed. leaned toward Secretary of State Marco Rubio and  Vice President JD Vance. Democrats pled showed. the most enthusiasm for Kla Harris, Alexandria  Okaziocortez, and Pete Buddhaj. But of course, it is early. The field remains wide open, and  the political jockeying is only just beginning. Let's talk about this now with Ashley Davis,  a former White House aid in the George W. Bush. administration and a former Homeland Security  official. And we're also joined by Megan Hayes,

Democratic strategist and a former White House  director of message planning. So Megan, we know, of course, that the midterms, I think, really  shook up the expectation for Republicans for. 2028. What about for Democrats? I think it just  showed that you have a larger map and a bigger. coalition to be able to get your votes uh needed.  I also think that Democrats change the primary. ballot or the primary schedule so that different  states are going to go first, which will give much. broader range for Democrats to be able to build  a different coalition. It will give more people. an opportunity to win because it's like South  Carolina, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada,

Virginia, Michigan. So, not naming any names.  Yeah, we have our list literally. So, so on your. list, Ashley, which is the Democrat that you hope  doesn't make it out of the primary process because. you don't want Republicans to go up against them.  So, I've been saying this from the beginning is. I I'm afraid the most of AOC and see a lot of my  counterparts on the Republican side will be like, "Let's run against her all day long. She's  divisive." LA. I think she brings out excitement. that others don't. I mean, and also she's moved  into the middle more than than she used to be.

And you have young voters that will come out for  her and you have all different demographics, women. that and Democrat women vote much better than  Republican women. I think that that she's very. scary. Now, I'm a big fan of Josh Shapiro because  we grew up in Republican politics together. I I. just don't think he brings the excitement as AOC  does. It depends what the environment is going to. be. So, I I wonder Ashley what President Trump's  role is going to be in this because on 60 Minutes.

he sort of talked about not getting involved,  maybe not endorsing a successor and yet the idea. of him stepping into the shadows and just letting  things evolve without his input and becoming. irrelevant. That seems a little unlikely to me.  What do you think? Yeah, I agree. I think that. his thumb will definitely be put on the scale.  One of the things that came out of last week, in my opinion, it would be that JD is not the air  parent. I I literally have eight people right here. just off the top of my head that I think could  potentially run. I mean, obviously Ted Cruz, you.

have Chris Christie running for the 150th time.  But you also have Glenn Yncan that's probably now. in play. Sarah Huckabe Sanders who's now in play.  Um, Governor Cox, Governor Stit. So, you do have. people that won't be as afraid to jump in. Now,  whether the president, I think you still need part. of his MAGA coalition to win because I think you  want his money. But I don't to me JD isn't there. apparent. But is Rubio? We'll see. I think if he  steps down in the next six months, he's running. I know things are are on a high right now for  Democrats given the results. But is there a.

Republican that you look at 2028 and and worry  about? Not at the moment. I think Democrats would. welcome a JD Vance to run. I think that everyone  is very welcome and open to that. I think that. anyone that Donald Trump is going to be supportive  of is more a MAGA figure. I think Democrats would. welcome. I think that the Governor Coxes and  some of the governors I think are a little bit. would be a little bit more nerve-wracking because  they don't carry the same um stink from Donald. Trump that those folks would. So, I think those  would probably be the people we'd be looking to. run against. You've al you've heard Governor Cox  speak. I suspect a lot of our viewers have not.

They're not familiar with him. But he speaks in  a way that I think appeals very broadly to people. and he talks compassionately. I I do wonder how  you think that might appeal to people at a time. where they were clearly looking for someone in  the center who wasn't mean. And he's done some. activities, he's done events with Governor Shapiro  and he's done some bipartisan events here that. people are really attracted to. And I do think  that people don't are not interested in being mean.

anymore. I think the just the complete negative  hostile environment that our politics has created. amongst people and their personal families is  really turning folks off and they are looking for. something different. They just want the government  to work for them. They just want to buy groceries. and their healthcare and be able to afford their  nice little life and just live peacefully. And we. are creating an environment right now that is  not peaceful. So, they are going to be looking. for a peaceful candidate. It sounds like she wants  to be Cox 202 Megan's new job. So, in this poll, actually, only 10% of Democrats said that they  would be excited to support uh Josh Shapiro,

the popular swing state governor, the the  biggest swing state electorally on the map. But more than 60% said they didn't know enough  about other governors like JB Pritzkar and. Andy Basher. Do you think that hurts the argument  that Democrats should rely on a governor? Listen, I I governors besides Bush, I mean, there hasn't  been a governor since. So, I think that it's. really hard for governors to get elected, but I  because of in my opinion the 24-hour news cycle,

because of social media, you have to have  something that gets people to the polls. and to be energized. If we are running against  someone on the Republican side that is an AOC, for an example, that has that built-in excitement,  it would be really hard for a governor that's. not as feisty to come and beat her. Same on the  Republican side. The one thing about JD, I mean, he's very polarizing, but at least he can like  excite the base. That's why a lot of Democrats get. out and vote against him. Yeah. No, that's true.  But also, this is where I think Sarah Huckabe.

Sanders is interesting. I'm I've been talking  about this just for like three weeks now. She. is MAGA but not MAGA, but she's also run a state.  So, she's a governor and she's also feisty. So, like listen, I'm also for any woman to like get a  fair shot here, but I think she's an interesting. candidate. I'm not saying she's running, but  Kla Harris uh has the most total support among. Democrats. Obviously, people who were pled  would know her more than any other candidate,

so she has name recognition. But I wonder if  you're looking at her throwing her hat in the. ring again, how does she need to switch things up  in 2028? So, I think she's ahead in a lot of these. polls for name recognition, and I actually don't  think she'll probably end up running at the end of. the day. I definitely think that our nominee will  be a governor. Uh for the Democrats, I think the. Midwestern governors are really the ones that  we should be looking at. But for Kla Harris, I think she would really have to change some of  her policies and her have some policy positions. that were different from the administration,  the Biden administration. And that's a tough.

thing to do. Just like JD Vance is going to find  out, it's tough to separate yourself. And that's. what gives these governors an opportunity.  JB Pritzkar and Andy Basher are really right. there. And they've led states. They've made  decisions. They fought back against Trump.